NC-03 House winner?
85%Raymond Smith Jr.
- Raymond Smith Jr.85%▲ 1
- Greg Murphy15%
Install
Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress? (For the 120th Congress)
The odds
59%Jim Jordan
- Jim Jordan59%▼ 3
- Steve Scalise35%▲ 8
- August Pfluger2%▲ 1
- Tom Emmer1%▼ 1
- Hakeem Jeffries<1%
- Mike Johnson<1%
- Katherine Clark<1%
- Pete Aguilar<1%
- Joe Neguse<1%
- Ted Lieu<1%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez<1%
- Lisa McClain<1%
4 more
- Jay Obernolte<1%
- Mike Lawler<1%
- Richard Hudson<1%
- Kevin Hern<1%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Jim Jordan: 30% on Oct 20, 59% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Nov 4, 11 PM ETJim Jordan: 49% → 60%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jim Jordan | 59% | ▼ 3 | 59¢ | 61¢ | $1.64 | 32.2K |
| Steve Scalise | 35% | ▲ 8 | 35¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | 19.2K |
| August Pfluger | 2% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 5.0K |
| Tom Emmer | 1% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 10.9K |
| Hakeem Jeffries | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 18.1K | ||
| Mike Johnson | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 5.1K | ||
| Katherine Clark | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 13.2K | ||
| Pete Aguilar | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 11.0K | ||
| Joe Neguse | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 10.0K | ||
| Ted Lieu | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 10.0K | ||
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 9.4K | ||
| Lisa McClain | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 4.8K | ||
| Jay Obernolte | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 3.9K | ||
| Mike Lawler | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 4.0K | ||
| Richard Hudson | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 100 | ||
| Kevin Hern | <1% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | $100.00 | 3.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: House Minority Leader, Jim Jordan, Steve Scalise
Search ›- Trump Says He “Might” Endorse in House Minority Leader Election Between Jim Jordan and Steve ScalisePresident Trump on Thursday weighed in on the upcoming House Minority Leader election, signaling that he “might” make an endorsement if House Republicans can’t decide. As The Gateway Pundit reported, House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) does…
- Jim Jordan throws hat in ring for House minority leader as GOP picks up pieces after blue waveHouse of Representatives control is projected to go to Democrats, making Hakeem Jeffries the next speaker. The Fox News Decision Desk projection follows a significant shift among young, independent, rural, and Hispanic voters. There's…
- Mike Johnson won’t seek House minority leader position after midterm lossesThe Washington Post Two other GOP lawmakers — Majority Leader Steve Scalise and Judiciary Committee Chair Jim Jordan — have plans to run. House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-Louisiana) will not try to stay on as Republican leader next year…
- Jim Jordan seeks House Minority Leader positionOhio Congressman Jim Jordan is seeking the House minority leader position and is expected to compete against Louisiana Congressman Steve Scalise, according to The Associated Press. WASHINGTON, D.C. (WLIO) - Tuesday’s blue wave in the…
- Mike Johnson will not run for House minority leader after Democrats flip CongressCNBC Mike Johnson will not run for House minority leader after Democrats flip Congress
- Jim Jordan, Steve Scalise Set To Wrestle For Top House GOP Spot After Mike Johnson Steps AsideHouse Majority Leader Steve Scalise and Republican Ohio Rep. Jim Jordan launched their bids Wednesday to become their party’s next leader after losing the majority. House Speaker Mike Johnson announced he would not seek a leadership role…
- Ohio’s Jim Jordan to Run for House Minority LeaderRep. Jim Jordan (R-OH) is reportedly planning to run for House Minority Leader after Republicans lost their majority in the House of Representatives on Tuesday night. After winning Ohio’s 4th Congressional District race against Democrat…
- Mike Johnson says he will not pursue House minority leader role – reportsReported move from Republican speaker of House comes in light of party’s disastrous midterms defeat Tell us: what do you want to know about the midterm election results? Mike Johnson, the Republican speaker of the House, has said he is not…
- BREAKING: Jim Jordan and Steve Scalise announce run for Speaker Johnson’s job in new Congress…The current House majority leader, Speaker Mike Johnson, won’t run to be minority leader in the next Congress. Instead, Jim Jordan and Steve Scalise are going to see if they can become the top dog of this small minority. Here’s the news…
- Watch live: House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries speaks as Democrats projected to win HouseHouse Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, D-N.Y., to give press conference amid blue wave. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, D-N.Y., and Democratic leaders are expected to hold a press conference Tuesday night as Democrats are projected…
- Jim Jordan to run for House Minority Leader as House Speaker Mike Johnson steps backJohnson has been Speaker since Kevin McCarthy was ousted by former Congressman Matt Gaetz. House Speaker Mike Johnson announced to staff on Wednesday that he would not be seeking to become the House Minority Leader after the Democrats’…
- Jim Jordan, Steve Scalise jump into race to replace Mike Johnson: reportsRepublicans suffered a stinging defeat on Tuesday evening, with voters handing Democrats control of both chambers of Congress by clear margins. Jim Jordan, Steve Scalise jump into race to replace Mike Johnson: reports Republicans suffered…
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