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How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?
The odds
10%More than $1.4 trillion
- More than $1.4 trillion10%▲ 4
- More than $1.5 trillion10%▼ 3
- More than $1.6 trillion5%
- More than $1.7 trillion5%▲ 2
- More than $1.8 trillion3%
- More than $1.9 trillion3%▼ 1
- More than $2.1 trillion3%
- More than $2 trillion2%
- More than $2.2 trillion2%
How the odds have moved
More than $1.4 trillion: 19% on Oct 20, 10% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| More than $1.4 trillion | 10% | ▲ 4 | 9¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 280.5K |
| More than $1.5 trillion | 10% | ▼ 3 | 9¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 41.3K |
| More than $1.6 trillion | 5% | 4¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 50.3K | |
| More than $1.7 trillion | 5% | ▲ 2 | 3¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 3.7K |
| More than $1.8 trillion | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 35.3K | |
| More than $1.9 trillion | 3% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 4.7K |
| More than $2.1 trillion | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 9.8K | |
| More than $2 trillion | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 56.7K | |
| More than $2.2 trillion | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 13.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Elon Musk, Musk
Search ›- Protest outside Elon Musk's Austin homeDozens of people gathered outside a compound belonging to billionaire Elon Musk in Austin Saturday. They say they wanted to send a message about money in politics following last week's decisive election victories by Democrats. Protest…
- Elon Musk in ‘Hate on the Spectrum’SNL gave Elon the “epic vulgar roast” he earned so spectacularly by throwing half a billion dollars at losing candidates during the midterms. Don’t feel too bad for him, though — he’s still got another $850 billion to dry his tears with…
- 'SNL' Makes Grok Roast Elon Musk On 'Weekend Update'Elon Musk has returned to Saturday Night Live, through Jeremy Culhane‘s hilarious impression, to give a postmortem of the midterm elections. As “Weekend Update” co-anchor Colin Jost noted, Musk has been in the news after he wasted half a…
- ‘SNL’ Weekend Update Brutally Roasts Elon Musk Over ‘Epic’ Midterms DefeatAn unhinged “Elon Musk” hit the “Saturday Night Live” Weekend Update desk this week to address the outcome of this week’s midterm elections — and Musk, as played by “SNL” featured player Jeremy Culhane, didn’t quite know how to address it…
- Elon Musk’s Austin home targeted by well-funded leftist groups aboard party busesFox News host Greg Gutfeld and the ‘Gutfeld!’ panel discuss Hillary Clinton saying she wants to force Elon Musk to testify to Congress if President Donald Trump pardons him. Three far-left nonprofits with combined annual revenues of $56.1…
- SNL has a new impression of Elon Musk, ‘the worst thing South Africa has ever done’Saturday Night Live cast member Jeremy Culhane unveiled his impression of Elon Musk last night, depicting the SpaceX and Tesla CEO as an awkward loser who fumbles his attempt to befriend the hosts of Weekend Update. This isn’t the first…
- Tesla Cybertruck: all the news about Elon Musk’s futuristic pickup truckHere’s everything you need to know about Tesla’s first pickup truck, which Elon Musk has called “heart-stopping” and his “personal favorite” of Tesla’s vehicles. Pickups have become more popular lately — their share of the US light vehicle…
- Talarico reaches out to Elon Musk — but he's no born-again MAGAWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a…
- Democrats weigh probes of Trump family, DOGE and Elon Musk, key lawmaker saysPresident Donald Trump’s family members and business allies such as Elon Musk are likely to face scrutiny when Democrats take power in Congress in January, according to Rep. Robert Garcia (California), the top Democrat on the House…
- Democrats set sights on Elon Musk probe after midterm wins, but Pritzker draws a surprising lineRep. Jamie Raskin, D-Md., and Gov. JB Pritzker, D-Ill., said the American people deserve an investigation into the Department of Government Efficiency while leaving The Center for American Progress. (Credit: Nicholas Ballasy for Fox News…
- ‘Bad week for Elon Musk’: Colin Cowherd piles on after Cybertruck news fand Republican lossesElon Musk is having a rough week. Days after Republicans got crushed in the midterms despite his massive financial support, Tesla announced that it would roll back production on the Cybertruck. Colin Cowherd couldn't resist piling on. On…
- Tesla to Wind Down Cybertruck Production as Elon Musk Pivots to Robotaxis and AITesla will stop making the Cybertruck at its Texas Gigafactory around the middle of next year, CEO Elon Musk said on Friday, as the company shifts its focus to autonomous vehicles. "Tesla will be winding down production of the Cybertruck…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions