When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?

Kalshi Health › FDA & drugs Closes Apr 1, 2027 · $3 today · $5.3K traded · $3.4K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

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The odds

93%before April 2027
  • before April 202793%▲ 15
  • before 202756%▼ 1
  • before December14%

How the odds have moved

before April 2027: 73% on Oct 20, 93% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Nov 9, 6 PM ETbefore April 2027: 78% → 93%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
before April 2027 93% ▲ 15 29¢ $1.08 3.4K
before 2027 56% ▼ 1 53¢ 60¢ $1.67 1.7K
before December 14% 12¢ 16¢ $6.25 5.0K
before November 6% ▲ 4 $16.67 2.8K
before October 2% $50.00 9.5K
before September 1% $100.00 7.5K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Beam Therapeutics, Risto-cel, Ristoglogene

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions