Who will be the next President of the European Central Bank? (Before Jan 1, 2028)

Kalshi Politics › World leaders Closes Jan 8, 2028 · $45 today · $2.4K traded · $1.7K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

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The odds

51%Pablo Hernández de Cos
  • Pablo Hernández de Cos51%▲ 1
  • Klaas Knot34%▼ 5
  • Fabio Panetta4%
  • Joachim Nagel3%
  • François Villeroy de Galhau3%
  • Nadia Calviño2%
  • Olli Rehn2%

How the odds have moved

Pablo Hernández de Cos: 37% on Oct 20, 51% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Pablo Hernández de Cos 51% ▲ 1 36¢ 65¢ $1.54 3.8K
Klaas Knot 34% ▼ 5 30¢ 38¢ $2.63 1.1K
Fabio Panetta 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 707
Joachim Nagel 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 901
François Villeroy de Galhau 3% 1¢ 4¢ $25.00 1.5K
Nadia Calviño 2% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 689
Olli Rehn 2% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 689

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: European Central Bank, Klaas Knot, Fabio Panetta

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  • Before Feb 1, 202712%▲ 1
13 more
  • Before Mar 1, 202714%▼ 3
  • Before Apr 1, 202723%▼ 2
  • Before May 1, 202725%▼ 2
  • Before Jun 1, 202735%▲ 2
  • Before Jul 1, 202739%
  • Before Aug 1, 202740%▼ 1
  • Before Sep 1, 202742%▼ 1
  • Before Oct 1, 202746%
  • Before Nov 1, 202749%▲ 1
  • Before Dec 1, 202752%▲ 3
  • Before Jan 1, 202856%▲ 2
  • Before Jul 1, 202866%▲ 5
  • Before Jan 1, 202970%
KalshiFor Mar 17 · $35.3K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions