Average Iowa farmland value in the 2026 ISU survey
$11,875median
$11,000$12,250
Median $11,875
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Who will be the world's second trillionaire? (Before Jan 1, 2033)
The odds
20%Jeff Bezos
- Jeff Bezos20%
- Mark Zuckerberg18%▲ 1
- Larry Page10%▲ 1
- Jensen Huang9%▲ 1
- Warren Buffett6%
- Sergey Brin5%
- Sam Altman5%
- Bernard Arnault & family4%
- Michael Dell4%
- Larry Ellison2%
- Steve Ballmer2%
- Changpeng Zhao2%
How the odds have moved
Jeff Bezos: 12% on Oct 5, 20% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Bezos | 20% | 18¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 7.0K | |
| Mark Zuckerberg | 18% | ▲ 1 | 17¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 10.3K |
| Larry Page | 10% | ▲ 1 | 9¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 8.3K |
| Jensen Huang | 9% | ▲ 1 | 4¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 4.2K |
| Warren Buffett | 6% | 4¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 1.7K | |
| Sergey Brin | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 838 | |
| Sam Altman | 5% | 3¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 6.8K | |
| Bernard Arnault & family | 4% | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 1.3K | |
| Michael Dell | 4% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 725 | |
| Larry Ellison | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 543 | |
| Steve Ballmer | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.1K | |
| Changpeng Zhao | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Jeff Bezos, Mark Zuckerberg, Larry Page
Search ›- Mark Zuckerberg Dresses As 'The Grillfather' For Halloween, Turns Family Into A Burger MealAlso Read: How A Failed IAS Aspirant Built A Rs 130 Crore Healthy Dessert Business The post instantly caught the attention of foodies around the world. "Wow, this is so interesting and fun,” one user wrote. “Grill master,” another…
- Mark Zuckerberg Meta AI Predicts a Hyperliquid Explosion by 2027Home » News » Mark Zuckerberg Meta AI Predicts a Hyperliquid Explosion by 2027 Something potentially massive could be in the works for Hyperliquid (HYPE) by January 1, 2027. Mark Zuckerberg’s Meta AI predicts that HYPE crypto could explode…
- Jeff Bezos’ AI firm nears 180K sf lease at former Gap offices on Embarcadero - The Real DealJeff Bezos’ AI firm nears 180K sf lease at former Gap offices on Embarcadero The Real Deal
- Larry Page's Gulfstream G650ER flies a 7-minute loop from Provo back to Provo§A · Dispatch · Landing The aircraft, tail number N618PB, departed and returned to Provo Municipal Airport in a brief flight on November 2, 2026. This flight is one entry in Larry Page's complete flight history — live position for N618PB…
- Mark Zuckerberg doesn't need to be 'liked'Mark Zuckerberg, founder of the company that invented the like button, says his goal isn't to be liked — he just wants to be "understood." During the company's fourth-quarter earnings call, Zuckerberg suggested that he intends to change…
- ‘Hunger Games: Sunrise On The Reaping’ To Play On Meta VR Glasses Post Theatrical; Lionsgate Teams With Mark Zuckerberg Corp On Pic’s 3D Conversion - IMDb‘Hunger Games: Sunrise On The Reaping’ To Play On Meta VR Glasses Post Theatrical; Lionsgate Teams With Mark Zuckerberg Corp On Pic’s 3D Conversion IMDb
- Here's what Mark Zuckerberg really meant by being 'understood'The gloves are off. Mark Zuckerberg says he knows his positions are likely to "piss off a lot of people." Two days after a company earnings call in which he stated that his goal for the next decade "isn't to be liked, but to be…
- A small replica of Jeff Bezos’ penis-shaped rocket can be yours for $69Ok, this is slightly awkward. Estes, a company that sells model rocket engines, kits and accessories, has a new item for sale: a replica of Blue Origin's New Shepard rocket, the very same one that took Blue Origin founder Jeff Bezos to…
- Jeff Bezos commits $100 million to a $500 million wildlife alliance targeting 31,000 endangered species as global conservation funding falls shortThousands of animal and plant species are at risk of disappearing, and conservation groups often need years of uninterrupted work to bring vulnerable populations back from the brink. Jeff Bezos and Lauren Sánchez Bezos are backing a new…
- Eva Longoria on Billionaire Jeff Bezos’s $50 Million Award: You Don’t Need Wealth to GiveTwo years after the Bezos Courage and Civility Award handed her $50 million, Longoria argues that giving is about presence more than money. The award’s own history points the same way. How the Bezos award works From celebrity to…
- Larry Ellison’s Net Worth Falls $11 Billion As Oracle Shares Plummet To Four-Month LowOracle co-founder Larry Ellison’s estimated net worth fell $11 billion Monday, tumbling as company shares fell to a four-month low after it revealed it is selling $20 billion of debt and equity to possibly fund its artificial intelligence…
- Bill Gates and Jeff Bezos-backed KoBold says China could delay its $50 million DRC lithium hunt by a yearAmerican mining company KoBold Metals says its $50 million search for lithium in the Democratic Republic of Congo could be delayed by a year as specialised surveying equipment remains caught in a United Nations approval process. The…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions