2027 Nobel Peace Prize winner

Kalshi Politics › World leaders Closes Dec 31, 2027 · $17 today · $506 traded · $378 at stake · prices read 11 h ago

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The odds

9%Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms
  • Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms9%
  • Committee to Protect Journalists7%
  • Yulia Navalnaya6%
  • Jimmy Lai6%
  • Melania Trump6%
  • UNRWA5%
  • Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya4%
  • Pope Leo XIV4%
  • Francesca Albanese4%▲ 2
  • Minneapolis3%
  • International Criminal Court3%
  • Elon Musk3%
17 more
  • Volodymyr Zelenskyy3%
  • Donald Trump3%▼ 1
  • Doctors Without Borders3%
  • Save the Children2%
  • International Court of Justice2%
  • Julian Assange2%▼ 1
  • Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine2%
  • World Health Organization2%
  • Reporters Without Borders (RSF)1%
  • Vanessa Nakate1%
  • Parents Circle – Families Forum1%
  • António Guterres1%
  • Greta Thunberg1%
  • Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani1%
  • David Attenborough1%
  • Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue1%
  • Imran Khan1%

How the odds have moved

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms: 8% on Oct 28, 9% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms 9% 9¢ 10¢ $10.20 329
Committee to Protect Journalists 7% 5¢ 9¢ $11.49 157
Yulia Navalnaya 6% 4¢ 7¢ $13.51 812
Jimmy Lai 6% 4¢ 8¢ $12.35 366
Melania Trump 6% 4¢ 8¢ $12.99 2.7K
UNRWA 5% 2¢ 7¢ $13.51 322
Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya 4% 2¢ 7¢ $13.51 583
Pope Leo XIV 4% 2¢ 6¢ $18.18 747
Francesca Albanese 4% ▲ 2 2¢ 6¢ $17.24 235
Minneapolis 3% 1¢ 6¢ $17.54 167
International Criminal Court 3% 1¢ 6¢ $16.39 244
Elon Musk 3% 1¢ 6¢ $18.18 293
Volodymyr Zelenskyy 3% 3¢ 3¢ $30.30 281
Donald Trump 3% ▼ 1 2¢ 5¢ $22.22 1.7K
Doctors Without Borders 3% 3¢ 3¢ $35.71 704
Save the Children 2% 2¢ 3¢ $40.00 500
International Court of Justice 2% 2¢ 2¢ $52.63 1.1K
Julian Assange 2% ▼ 1 1¢ 2¢ $45.45 905
Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine 2% 2¢ 2¢ $58.82
World Health Organization 2% 2¢ 2¢ $58.82
Reporters Without Borders (RSF) 1% 1¢ 1¢ $71.43
Vanessa Nakate 1% 1¢ 1¢ $71.43 500
Parents Circle – Families Forum 1% 1¢ 1¢ $71.43 500
António Guterres 1% 1¢ 1¢ $83.33
Greta Thunberg 1% 1¢ 1¢ $83.33
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani 1% 1¢ 1¢ $83.33
David Attenborough 1% 1¢ 1¢ $83.33
Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue 1% 1¢ 1¢ $83.33
Imran Khan 1% 1¢ 1¢ $83.33

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Nobel Peace Prize, Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms, Yulia Navalnaya

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KalshiFor Mar 17 · $35.3K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions