How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (11/8-11/14)
26.3median
-850
Median 26.3Middle half 23.1 – 29.5
Install
How many FY2027 continuing resolutions will become law? (Before Oct 1, 2027)
The odds
3.21median
110
Median 3.21Middle half 2.53 – 3.89
How the odds have moved
Median: 3.15 on Oct 19, 3.21 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 2 | 95% | 91¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 3 | 57% | 53¢ | 62¢ | $1.61 | 86.00 | |
| At least 4 | 21% | ▲ 1 | 17¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | |
| At least 5 | 16% | 12¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | ||
| At least 6 | 11% | 7¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | ||
| At least 8 | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: FY2027
Search ›- Boakai Submits US$1.538B FY2027 Draft BudgetFinance Minister Ngafuan presents Draft National Budget to Speaker Koon while Deputy Finance Minister for Budget, Tanneh Brunson looks on. Minister Ngafuan submitted the draft budget and the President’s Budget Message to House Speaker…
- Liberia: Boakai Submits U.S.$1.538b Fy2027 Draft BudgetMinister Ngafuan submitted the draft budget and the President's Budget Message to House Speaker Richard Nagbe Koon at the Speaker's office on Friday, November 6, 2026, on behalf of President Boakai. The President highlighted that domestic…
- Nvidia chip export restrictions unlikely to make final FY2027 NDAA, reports sayProposals to tighten scrutiny of AI chip sales to China were reportedly left out of the final defense bill, though they may return next year Nvidia appears to have dodged a legislative bullet, at least for now. Restrictions on advanced…
- FY2027 Long-Term Care Fee Revision: 3 Key Points Managers Should Grasp NowFollowing my previous self-introduction, I will now dive into the main topic. The theme is the FY2027 (Reiwa 9) long-term care fee revision. 'I'll read about the revision once it's finalized.' Many managers might be thinking this. I used…
- Scotiabank Has Negative Opinion of Vistra FY2027 EarningsPosted by Tristan Rich on Nov 6th, 2026 Vistra (NYSE:VST – Get Free Report) last released its earnings results on Friday, November 6th. The company reported $3.25 earnings per share for the quarter, topping analysts’ consensus estimates of…
- Brokers Set Expectations for HudBay Minerals FY2027 EarningsPosted by Tristan Rich on Nov 6th, 2026 Check Out Our Latest Stock Analysis on HudBay Minerals Hudbay Minerals Inc is a Canadian mining company focused primarily on the exploration, development, and operation of copper, gold, zinc, and…
- [Breaking News] Hiroshima University FY2027 'Hikari Kagayaki' Comprehensive Selection Entrance Exam: Analysis and Outlook of Application StatusOn October 14, 2026, Hiroshima University announced the (final) applicant status for the FY2027 (2027 academic year) 'Hikari Kagayaki' Comprehensive Selection. There are 709 applicants for the Comprehensive Selection (Type I and Type II)…
- Fractal Analytics reports $100 million revenue milestone in Q2 FY2027Fractal Analytics achieved a significant milestone in Q2 FY2027, surpassing $100 million in revenue for the first time. The company reported strong year-over-year growth and a substantial increase in net income. Fractal Analytics reports…
- Diageo Q1 FY2027 net sales increase 1.2% to US$4.93BIndia, EMEA, Asia Pacific and Latin America recorded organic sales growth, while North America remained the company’s biggest regional challenge. Published November 6, 2026 IRELAND – Diageo has reported a 1.2 per cent increase in…
- Canopy targets 25%-30% higher Kincardine flower output while staying on track for positive adjusted EBITDA in H2 FY2027Canopy Growth Q2 FY2027 insights: 22% revenue growth, Europe expansion, EU GMP wins, and EBITDA path. Earnings Call Insights: Canopy Growth Corporation (WEED:CA) Q2 fiscal 2027 "Our second quarter of fiscal 2027 results show continued…
- Coty (COTY) FY2027 Q1 Earnings Call: Core Prestige Brands Grow 5%Coty is concentrating investment behind six core Prestige brands and four core Consumer brands under its Coty.Curated strategy. Four major Q1 launches—BOSS Bottled Beyond for Her, Kylie Mood Stones, Marc Jacobs Beauty and Burberry Amber…
- Kura Sushi outlines $376M-$381M FY2027 sales as it plans 17 openings and targets self-funding by 2031Kura Sushi Q4 2026 earnings: traffic weakness, 17-unit growth plans, and a self-funding 2031 goal. Earnings Call Insights: Kura Sushi USA, Inc. (KRUS) Q4 fiscal 2026 "We expect to generate positive free cash flow and become self-funding by…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions