Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 9, 2026
63.73%median
50.8%71.7%
Median 63.73%Middle half 63.3% – 64.15%
Install
Major news story in Nov 2026?
The odds
6.05median
015
Median 6.05
How the odds have moved
Median: 2.76 on Nov 2, 6.05 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ At least 1 | 99% | ▲ 2 | $1.01 | 51.00 | ||
| ✓ At least 2 | 99% | ▲ 8 | $1.01 | 1.9K | ||
| ✓ At least 3 | 99% | ▲ 7 | $1.01 | 1.7K | ||
| At least 5 | 60% | 56¢ | 64¢ | $1.56 | 921 | |
| At least 10 | 13% | 8¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 859 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news
No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Related markets
All politics ›How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026?
4.78median
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Median 4.78Middle half 4.26 – 5.14
How many states will Trump visit in Nov 2026?
5.86median
412
Median 5.86Middle half 5.42 – 7.11
Anthropic share of spend on Nov 10, 2026 (Vercel)
60%Above 39.1%
30.7%39.7%
Trump's RCP approval average on Nov 10, 2026?
38.85%median
38.75%39.45%
Median 38.85%Middle half 38.8% – 38.85%
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Nov 2026?
97%Xi Jinping
- Xi Jinping97%▲ 1
- Mark Carney92%▼ 1
- Vladimir Putin90%▲ 2
13 more
- Sanae Takaichi84%▼ 1
- Mohammed bin Salman81%▲ 3
- Claudia Sheinbaum79%▲ 3
- Narendra Modi76%
- Lee Jae-myung73%▼ 1
- Volodymyr Zelenskyy62%▼ 3
- Elon Musk61%▲ 4
- Chuck Schumer45%▼ 19
- Hakeem Jeffries40%▼ 10
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva38%▼ 17
- Zohran Mamdani34%▲ 2
- Kevin Warsh18%
- Kim Jong Un7%▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions