The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Xi Jinping
96%
▲ 1
95¢
96¢
$1.04
5.6K
Mark Carney
92%
90¢
94¢
$1.06
1.9K
Vladimir Putin
90%
▲ 5
88¢
92¢
$1.09
1.0K
✓ Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
90%
▲ 42
$1.11
3.4K
Sanae Takaichi
84%
▼ 1
81¢
87¢
$1.15
1.7K
Mohammed bin Salman
83%
▲ 4
82¢
83¢
$1.20
759
Claudia Sheinbaum
75%
▼ 1
72¢
78¢
$1.28
1.9K
Narendra Modi
75%
▼ 1
72¢
78¢
$1.28
653
Lee Jae-myung
72%
▼ 1
70¢
74¢
$1.35
479
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
63%
▲ 2
62¢
64¢
$1.56
1.7K
Chuck Schumer
62%
▼ 1
59¢
65¢
$1.54
1.8K
Elon Musk
57%
▲ 2
56¢
58¢
$1.72
830
Hakeem Jeffries
48%
▼ 2
45¢
50¢
$2.00
2.3K
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
43%
▼ 11
41¢
45¢
$2.22
3.8K
Zohran Mamdani
34%
▲ 3
30¢
38¢
$2.63
294
Kevin Warsh
19%
▲ 1
16¢
21¢
$4.76
159
Kim Jong Un
7%
▼ 1
6¢
8¢
$12.50
2.1K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Xi Jinping’s Chinese Dream Has Replaced the Maoist CredoYahoo News · 45 h agoSince 1978, China has undergone a series of seismic changes in its economic order that have radically altered its citizens' relationship to both labor and land. They have unmade the socialist working class and are in the process of…
President Xi Jinping casts vote in Beijing local Congress electionDaily Pioneer · 3 days agoDaily Pioneer In a rare outing, Chinese President Xi Jinping cast his ballot at a polling station in Beijing on Friday to elect deputies to a local peopleâs congress.President Xi, who is also general secretary of the Communist Party of…
Xi Jinping votes in local legislative election in Beijing@CGTNOfficial · 4 days agoCGTN Xi Jinping votes in local legislative election in Beijing Chinese President Xi Jinping casts his ballot at a polling station in Beijing to elect deputies to a local people's congress, November 6, 2026. /Xinhua Chinese President Xi…
Who Will Succeed Xi Jinping?Foreign Policy · 3 days agoAnalysis: Who Will Succeed Xi Jinping? Ever since Xi Jinping bucked norms and made it clear he would not be held to a two-term limit as president of China and general secretary of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), there has been intense…
Canada’s Mark Carney Plans to Admit Over Two Million More Migrants Over Next Three YearsThe Gateway Pundit · 44 h agoCanadian Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal government has announced plans to grant another 2.25 million permanent and temporary resident admissions over the next three years. His pledges come despite Canadian’s growing opposition to…
President Xi Jinping meets with Austrian Chancellor Stocker in Beijing@CGTNOfficial · 4 days agoCGTN President Xi Jinping meets with Austrian Chancellor Stocker in Beijing Chinese President Xi Jinping met with Austrian Chancellor Christian Stocker in Beijing on Friday. Stocker is on an official visit to China from November 2 to 7.
Xi Jinping Cleans House in ChinaThe Epoch Times · 4 days agoFor the last two years, Chinese Communist Party leader Xi Jinping has been working relentlessly to dismantle the political network that had previously controlled China. That group’s power is now effectively broken—though observers are…
Prime Minister Mark Carney pitches homelessness plan in Winnipegthecanadianpressnews.ca · 3 days agothecanadianpressnews.ca Prime Minister Mark Carney says the federal government has learned from past mistakes as it sets out the ambitious aim of eliminating homelessness within 10 years. He says he chose to make Manitoba the first stop…
The perils of Xi Jinping’s purgetovima.com · 4 days agoAs regional conflicts rage and revisionist powers challenge the established order, warnings of a new global conflagration are growing louder At a seminar in Beijing in July, scholars in economics and international relations had a…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions