Will Ohio's special Senate winner be sworn in on Dec 15? (Before Dec 16, 2026)

Kalshi Politics › Congress Closes Dec 15 · $13 today · $2.9K traded · $1.8K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

Embed

The odds

66%chance▲ 3

How the odds have moved

Yes: 71% on Oct 20, 66% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 24, 9 PM ET69% → 64%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Yes 66% ▲ 3 64¢ 68¢ $1.47 4.4K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Ohio, Senate

Search ›
  • How a Democrat won the Senate seat in OhioNBC News · 3 days agoNBC News
  • How Ohio State Can Still Make the College Football PlayoffsOhio State Buckeyes On SI · 31 h agoOhio State’s at-large problem was there before Oregon came to Columbus. The Buckeyes opened at 12th in the first College Football Playoff rankings, a spot that already left them outside the projected field because of an automatic…
  • Oklahoma tribes say proposed legal changes put ancestral lands in Ohio at riskNPR · 39 h agoThe Trump administration has proposed changes to the National Historic Preservation Act that could endanger historic sites significant to tribal nations across the country. Oklahoma tribes say that puts ancestral lands in Ohio at risk…
  • HLs: Oregon stuns stumbling Ohio StateYahoo Sports · 2 days agoAfter establishing a 14-point lead on No. 23 Oregon at home, No. 12 Ohio State's defense crumbled over the remaining three quarters as the Ducks handed the Buckeyes their third loss of the year in upset fashion. After establishing a…
  • River North bar hosts "Senate Hunks" lookalike contestCBS News · 15 h agoStardust bar in River North hosted a "Senate Hunks" lookalike contes Sunday afternoon for Chicagoans who most closely resemble winners from the 2026 midterm elections including Abdul El-Sayed, John Ossoff and James Talarico. River North…
  • Ohio State somehow opens as 10.5-point favorite over NorthwesternYahoo Sports · 42 h agoBetting Line: Ohio State -10.5 | O/U 47.5 The Buckeyes enter the week at 6-3 overall and 4-2 in Big Ten play, with their College Football Playoff hopes essentially gone. Sure, if every team with a number by its name somehow loses out…
  • Exclusive / Senate’s post-election drama escalates quicklysemafor.com · 17 h agoCongress’ lame-duck session starts with a bang on Monday, as Senate Republicans debate their future after last week’s shellacking and Democrats face their first vote on a permitting reform bill that is cleaving them. Meanwhile, the Senate…
  • Georgia Crushes Ole Miss While Ohio State Crashes OutYahoo Sports · 44 h agoGeorgia dominates Ole Miss 42-7 to reclaim the top spot, while Ohio State falls to two straight losses after a blowout by Oregon. - Georgia Crushes Ole Miss While Ohio State Crashes Out No. 2 Georgia Set For No. 1 Ranking After Dismantling…
  • Angie Nixon reflects on Senate runCBS News · 36 h agoCBS News Bay Area Morning Edition Weekend 6am WBZ This Morning 8am CBS Colorado Mornings Weekend CBS News Los Angeles Weekend 6am CBS Miami News Sunday Morning CBS News New York Sunday 8am
  • Grading Every Oregon Position Group After Ducks' Win Over Ohio StateOregon Ducks On SI · 29 h agoFor the Oregon Ducks fans who made the trek out east to Columbus, they return to Eugene, overjoyed. The No. 23 Ducks traveled to Columbus and started slowly before scoring 38 unanswered points to upset the No. 12 Ohio State Buckeyes…
  • Jeremiah Smith Urged To Sit Out Ohio State's Remaining GamesYahoo Sports · 40 h agoA month ago Ohio State wide receiver Jeremiah Smith was putting up historic numbers for the Buckeyes with Julian Sayin throwing him the ball and seemed like a lock for the Heisman Trophy. But ever since Sayin got hurt, he's looked mortal…
  • Too early to think about the 2028 Senate map? No!The Washington Post · 17 h agoDemocrats are optimistic about expanding their Senate majority in two years and are already eyeing the possibility of a 60-seat supermajority. caucus with Democrats. The 2026 Senate races in Alaska and Mississippi have not been called…

Related markets

All congress ›

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions