How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (11/8-11/14)
26.4median
-850
Median 26.4Middle half 23.2 – 29.6
Install
Will Ilhan Omar cast a recorded House vote before December? (Before Dec 1, 2026)
The last odds before it closed
96%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 45% on Oct 23, 96% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Nov 4, 11 PM ET74% → 89%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 96% | ▲ 1 | 93¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 7.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ilhan Omar, House
Search ›- Ilhan Omar celebrates RECORD number of Muslims in CongressRep. Ilhan Omar celebrates Abdul El-Sayed’s election victory, pointing to the possibility that eight Muslims could soon serve in Congress. Ilhan Omar celebrates RECORD number of Muslims in Congress Rep. Ilhan Omar celebrates Abdul…
- Gregg Jarrett: Ilhan Omar’s re-election is ‘vindication of nothing’Fox News Gregg Jarrett: Ilhan Omar’s re-election is ‘vindication of nothing’ Fox News legal analyst Gregg Jarrett discusses the federal investigation into Rep. Ilhan Omar's, D-Minn., finances and immigration documents following her…
- Ilhan Omar dances at victory party after winning 5th term in CongressIlhan Ilhan Omar dances at victory party after winning 5th term in Congress Fox News Ilhan Omar dances at victory party after winning 5th term in Congress Ilhan Omar breaks into a victory dance after securing a fifth term in Congress. The…
- Ilhan Omar wins re-election despite fraud investigationsFormer federal prosecutor Andrew Cherkasky discusses potential legal consequences for Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., following her reelection amid federal investigations into her immigration history. Ilhan Omar wins re-election despite fraud…
- Voters re-elect Ilhan Omar despite federal immigration, finance investigationsFox News Voters re-elect Ilhan Omar despite federal immigration, finance investigations 'The Faulkner Focus' zeroes in on Minnesota Rep. Ilhan Omar's re-election to the U.S. House of Representatives, which comes in spite of two federal…
- Ilhan Omar lashes out at 'bigot' Trump after winning re-election despite investigationHouse Democrats stand by Rep. Ilhan Omar as federal authorities investigate her personal finances and immigration history. Chad Pergram reports on the growing political fallout and progressive calls to end the probe. After winning…
- Ilhan Omar Gets Biggest Election Win in 8 Years After ICE Raided Her HomeNov 04, 2026 at 08:42 AM EST House Democrat Ilhan Omar has pulled off her biggest electoral win since 2018 in Minnesota’s 5th congressional district less than a month after her Washington, D.C., home was raided by Homeland Security…
- Scandal-plagued Ilhan Omar easily secures 5th term in deep blue Minnesota despite immigration fraud probeRep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., faces renewed scrutiny as some House Democrats decline to support ending an immigration probe. Attorney Julian Epstein highlights that the marriage fraud investigation dates back to the Obama administration…
- Ilhan Omar wins Minnesota's 5th Congressional District race, CBS News projectsNovember 3, 2026 / 11:08 PM CST / CBS Minnesota Incumbent Democratic U.S. Rep. Ilhan Omar has secured a fifth term by defeating Republican nominee John Nagel in Minnesota's 5th Congressional District race Tuesday evening, CBS News…
- Ilhan Omar's opponent 'optimistic' on election day amid Dem rep's scandalJohn Nagel says he's the only man for the job in Minnesota's 5th Congressional District as Rep. Ilhan Omar faces a federal criminal probe. Ilhan Omar's opponent 'optimistic' on election day amid Dem rep's scandal John Nagel says he's the…
- Rep. Ilhan Omar cruises back to Congress despite immigration fraud probe threatening to deport herRep. Ilhan Omar (D-Minn.) cruised to re-election Tuesday night, even as the Trump administration is building an immigration fraud case aimed at stripping her of citizenship and kicking her out of the country. Omar was elected to a fifth…
- Does Ilhan Omar Have Secret Siblings in London?Ilhan Omar has been hiding links to two of her siblings in London in an alleged bid to create further distance between her and rumored brother Ahmed Nur Said Elmi — whom she married in 2009. Multiple sources told The Post that Mohamed Nur…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions