Traffic through the Panama Canal? (11/2 - 11/8)
191.8median
160230
Median 191.8Middle half 187.6 – 196.5
Install
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)
Settled 201.00A day before, traders had a median of 197.8
The last odds before it closed
197.9median
- ✓ Above 17098%
- ✓ Above 18098%▲ 2
- ✓ Above 18593%▲ 3
- ✓ Above 19075%▲ 1
- ✓ Above 19561%▲ 1
- ✓ Above 20042%▲ 7
- Above 20511%▼ 3
- Above 2103%▼ 2
- Above 2201%▼ 2
How the odds have moved
Median: 190.5 on Oct 20, 197.9 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Above 170 | 98% | 32.9K | ||||
| ✓ Above 180 | 98% | 32.0K | ||||
| ✓ Above 185 | 93% | 34.8K | ||||
| ✓ Above 190 | 75% | 22.9K | ||||
| ✓ Above 195 | 61% | 7.3K | ||||
| ✓ Above 200 | 42% | 16.0K | ||||
| ✗ Above 205 | 11% | 24.1K | ||||
| ✗ Above 210 | 3% | 19.3K | ||||
| ✗ Above 220 | 1% | 11.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Panama Canal
Search ›- Farmers reject new artificial reservoir for Panama CanalAround one thousand residents participated in a meeting in the town of Limon de Chagres with representatives of the Episcopal Conference. They voiced their concerns regarding the project—which the executive branch defends as necessary to…
- Stephen Miller is in. Is Pete Hegseth out? With Ben Rhodes – Stateside with Kai and CarterStarting today, Stephen Miller is officially Donald Trump’s chief of staff. Now what? Kai Wright speaks with Ben Rhodes, co-host of Crooked Media’s Pod Save the World and a former deputy national security adviser to Barack Obama, about why…
- Panama Canal Authority Set to Announce Companies Selected to Compete for Two Port Terminals.The Panama Canal will announce before the end of 2026 the companies prequalified to build... The Panama Canal will announce before the end of 2026 the companies prequalified to build and operate two new container terminals, projects that…
- Today in History: November 9, Theodore Roosevelt becomes first president to travel abroadToday is Monday, Nov. 9, the 313th day of 2026. There are 52 days left in the year. On Nov. 9, 1906, Theodore Roosevelt made the first trip abroad of any sitting U.S. president in order to observe construction of the Panama Canal. In 1872…
- Optics11 Receives Additional $55m Investment to Meet Global Security Infrastructure DemandsOptics11 announced it has secured USD$55.9 million (€50 million) in follow-on equity investment to accelerate its capacity to meet global customer demand. As European governments and defense organizations scramble to rebuild effective…
- Asia-U.S. West Coast ocean container spot rates up 343% since start of Iran war, says XenetaGlobal ocean container spot rates could fall 30% in 2027 as fleet growth outpaces cargo demand and more ships return to shorter routes through the Red Sea, according to Xeneta’s latest ocean market outlook. The freight-rate intelligence…
- Today in History: Berlin Wall falls after 28 yearsToday is Monday, Nov. 9, the 313th day of 2026. There are 52 days left in the year. On Nov. 9, 1989, communist East Germany threw open its borders, allowing citizens to travel freely to the West for the first time in decades — a landmark…
- Today in History: November 9, Berlin Wall falls after 28 yearsToday is Monday, Nov. 9, the 313th day of 2026. There are 52 days left in the year. On Nov. 9, 1989, communist East Germany threw open its borders, allowing citizens to travel freely to the West for the first time in decades — a landmark…
- Panama Quake Survivors Told to Be PatientOne month after the earthquake of Friday 9 October 2026, Panama’s government is asking survivors for patience while it plans at least 2,700 new homes. For Macaracas, a district in Los Santos province on the Azuero peninsula in…
- Panama Supermarket Giant Rey Mourns Leader—Who. Nicholas Psychoyos, honorary lifetime president of Grupo Rey, Panama’s supermarket and pharmacy group. —When. Grupo Rey announced his death on Saturday 7 November 2026. —Legacy. Grupo Rey bought the Romero supermarkets in 2007 and…
- Guest columnist: Draft Kentucky social studies standards need major workPublished 7:30 pm Friday, November 6, 2026 By Richard Innes/Guest columnist Do you think Kentucky’s students need to learn about Adolf Hitler, Thomas Edison and the Panama Canal? If so, you won’t be happy with a proposed set of public…
- Panama Canal to List Shortlisted Bidders for Terminal Project by End of YearReporting by Marianna Parraga; Editing by Kylie Madry, Daina Beth Solomon and Jonathan Spicer Knowledge Marine & Engineering Works (KMEW) has secured a Rs 303.17 crore maintenance dredging order from the New Mangalore Port Authority, the…
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All world leaders ›Traffic through the Panama Canal? (11/9 - 11/15)
193.5median
160230
Median 193.5Middle half 188.7 – 199.4
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Nov 16, 2027even chance by
- Before Dec 1, 20264%▲ 1
- Before Jan 1, 20277%▲ 2
- Before Feb 1, 202711%▼ 1
13 more
- Before Mar 1, 202714%▼ 3
- Before Apr 1, 202722%▼ 3
- Before May 1, 202725%▼ 3
- Before Jun 1, 202734%▲ 1
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- Before Aug 1, 202740%▼ 1
- Before Sep 1, 202741%▼ 2
- Before Oct 1, 202746%
- Before Nov 1, 202749%▲ 1
- Before Dec 1, 202752%▲ 3
- Before Jan 1, 202856%▲ 2
- Before Jul 1, 202866%▲ 5
- Before Jan 1, 202970%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8)
193.3median
140230
Median 193.3Middle half 185.6 – 202.7
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/2 - 11/8)
299.8median
250340
Median 299.8Middle half 289.1 – 309.8
Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak? (Before Jan 20, 2029)
Jul 26, 2028even chance by
- Before Jan 1, 20275%
- Before Jan 1, 202836%▲ 4
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions