The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before Jan 1, 2027
5%
4¢
5¢
$18.87
152.0K
Before Jan 1, 2028
32%
▼ 1
30¢
33¢
$3.03
4.0K
Before Jan 20, 2029
56%
55¢
56¢
$1.79
114.6K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Trump says ‘hatred’ between Zelensky, Putin is main obstacle to ending warThe Hill · 23 h agoPresident Trump said during a Sunday appearance on “60 minutes” that the “hatred between Zelensky and Putin” is one of the primary obstacles toward resolving the Russia-Ukraine war. CBS News’s Ross Douthat questioned Trump about his…
Zelensky ‘thankful’ for Melania Trump’s Russia-Ukraine peace efforts | CNNCNN · 3 days agoUkrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky tells CNN's Jake Tapper he is "thankful" for first lady Melania Trump's ceasefire efforts, specifically her White House event between both Russian and Ukrainian officials. The Metropolitan Police…
Russia Recruiting Abducted Ukrainian Children Into Army, Zelensky SaysNewsweek · 3 days agoNov 06, 2026 at 06:07 AM EST Nov 06, 2026 at 08:29 AM EST Russia has recruited abducted Ukrainian children into its army, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has said. Kyiv says Russia has taken more than 20,000 Ukrainian children from…
The U.S. Must Reject Russian Narratives on UkraineNational Review · 17 h agoThe Pentagon’s Best Space Weapon Isn’t a Program — It’s a Prize Trump and Netanyahu Need to Choose Victory on Iran Why the U.S. Should Rethink a Freeze on Taiwan Arms Sales What Trump Can Learn from Reagan’s Military Buildup A church…
BBC Audio | Weekend | Ukraine-Russia talksBBC News · 41 h agoRepresentatives from Ukraine and Russia are due to meet in Abu Dhabi next week to discuss ways to end Russia’s war on Ukraine. Also on the programme: Fiji’s climate negotiator, Sivendra Michael on the ... Available for 29 days…
US, Russia, and Ukraine to hold talks in Abu Dhabisemafor.com · 27 h agoUS, Russian, and Ukrainian officials are expected to meet this week in Abu Dhabi for talks on ending the nearly five-year war, the first direct negotiations in nine months, but experts cautioned that the meetings were unlikely to yield a…
More than 400,000 Russians killed fighting in Ukraine war, leaked data suggeststhe Guardian · 11 h agoHacked death records reveal scale of losses since Moscow launched full-scale invasion nearly five years ago Ukraine war briefing: post war ‘security guarantees’ a key focus in upcoming Abu Dhabi talks, says Rubio More than 400,000 Russians…
Russia targets emergency crews at the site of a deadly strike in southern UkraineWashington Examiner · 34 h agoWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions