The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Peru
100%
99¢
22.8K
✓ Argentina
99%
▼ 1
$1.01
33.1K
✓ Uruguay
99%
▲ 2
$1.01
32.7K
Ukraine
10%
▲ 3
8¢
12¢
$8.33
9.2K
Portugal
7%
4¢
10¢
$10.00
4.1K
Mexico
5%
▼ 1
3¢
7¢
$14.29
27.5K
Jordan
5%
2¢
8¢
$12.50
408
Brazil
5%
4¢
5¢
$20.00
5.1K
Philippines
5%
2¢
7¢
$14.29
210
Israel
4%
2¢
6¢
$16.67
4.6K
South Sudan
4%
2¢
6¢
$16.67
3.1K
USA
4%
3¢
4¢
$25.00
90.5K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Pope Leo XIV begins 12-day South America tripCBS News · 3 days agoPope Leo XIV is back on the international stage less than a month after lung cancer surgery. The pontiff is beginning his first major trip since the procedure, with stops in Uruguay, Argentina, and Peru. Before leaving, the Chicago native…
Pope Leo XIV visits Uruguay on trip to South AmericaCBS News · 2 days agoCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Pope Leo…
Pope Leo begins 12-day South America trip following cancer surgeryCBS News · 3 days agoCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Pope Leo begins…
Pope Leo ‘proud to be an American’ and vote in US midtermsCNN · 3 days agoPope Leo XIV has said he was proud to exercise his right to vote as an American in the recent US midterm elections. Speaking on board the papal plane to South America, the first US-born pope responded to a question from CNN about the…
Pope Leo begins 12-Day, 3-country tour after cancer surgeryNPR · 3 days agoA mototaxi pass drives past a banner of Pope Leo XIV at Pimentel beach in Chiclayo, Peru, Thursday, Nov. 5, 2026, ahead of his planned trip to Uruguay, Argentina, and Peru from Nov. 6 to 17. Martin Mejia/AP hide caption MONTEVIDEO, Uruguay…
Pope Leo says he voted in U.S. election because he's "proud to be an American"CBS News · 3 days agoNovember 6, 2026 / 4:07 PM EST / CBS News Pope Leo XIV, who became the first sitting pontiff to vote in a U.S. election, said Friday he is "proud to be an American and to exercise my right" to vote. The pope, formerly Cardinal Robert…
After cancer surgery, Pope Leo embarks on Latin America tripNPR · 4 days agoA mototaxi pass drives past a banner of Pope Leo XIV at Pimentel beach in Chiclayo, Peru, Thursday, Nov. 5, 2026, ahead of his planned trip to Uruguay, Argentina, and Peru from November 6 to 17. Martin Mejia/AP hide caption ROME — Pope Leo…
Poised for breakout moment in Latin America, Pope Leo also faces test of healthThe Washington Post · 4 days agoThe Washington Post Just weeks after his cancer surgery, Leo will navigate the tide of secularism, deep polarization — and high altitudes. Pope Leo XIV arrives in Latin America on Friday for a 12-day trip to Uruguay, Argentina and Peru…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions