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When will the PROMISE Act pass the Senate?
The odds
- Before Nov 21, 20263%
- Before Jan 1, 20279%
How the odds have moved
Before Nov 21, 2026: 2% on Oct 20, 3% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Oct 3, 2026 | 1% | $100.00 | 13.3K | |||
| Before Nov 21, 2026 | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 6.1K | |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 9% | 7¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 7.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Social Security Advisory Board, Social Security Trust Fund, PROMISE Act
Search ›- 2026 Mississippi U.S. Senate Election ResultsAP News Mississippi U.S. Senate results AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and…
- Texas Senate Race Draws Big Backing: Senate Majority PAC Injects Funds for TalaricoThe Senate Majority Political Action Committee, linked to Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, has also invested in the Texas Senate race on Talarico's behalf. CBS News Texas political reporter Jack Fink talks to the press secretary…
- Democrat Haley Stevens appears with Michigan GOP Senate candidate Mike Rogers amid rift with Senate nominee Abdul El-SayedNovember 1, 2026 / 12:11 PM EST / CBS News Democratic Rep. Haley Stevens appeared with Republican Senate candidate Mike Rogers Sunday amid a rift with Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed that has come front and center in the final…
- Maine Senate race deadlocked as early voting continuesFox News' Todd Piro joins 'Fox & Friends Weekend' from Scarborough, Maine, to discuss voter concerns. Fox News' Todd Piro j ... Maine Senate race deadlocked as early voting continues Fox News' Todd Piro joins 'Fox & Friends Weekend' from…
- The other Dan Sullivan: inside Alaska's senate race controversyA second candidate named Daniel Sullivan on Alaska's Senate ballot has sparked allegations of a coordinated effort to confuse voters and draw support away from Republican Senator Dan Sullivan. Former Florida state senator Jose Javier…
- 11/1/2026: Michigan Senate Race; Cuba in Crisis; WembyCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. 11/1/2026: Michigan…
- Dem Senate candidate DENIES role in Alaska midterms scandalJust days before the key midterm election in Alaska, questions remain unanswered about Mary Peltola's possible involvement in the controversy surrounding Daniel J. Sullivan, a candidate who was reportedly recruited to run as a spoiler. Dem…
- Social Support Is Critical to Solving America’s Demographic CliffThe late James Q. Wilson, former professor of government at Harvard University, once said, “It is not money, but the family that is the foundation of public life. As it has become weaker, every structure built upon that foundation has…
- Comedians poke fun of Alaska’s Senate election controversy | CNN Politics“Have I Got News For You” host Roy Wood Jr. and his panel of comedians discuss Alaska’s Senate election, which has been at the center of political controversy over how two Dan Sullivans ended up on the state’s ballot. Host Roy Wood Jr. and…
- Democratic infighting erupts in Michigan senate raceThe 'Fox News Sunday' panel discusses the Michigan Senate race and the Iran war. The 'Fox News Sunday' panel discusses the Michigan senate race and the Iran war. They talk about what it would mean for ... Democratic infighting erupts in…
- New twist in critical Michigan Senate raceRep. Haley Stevens has pulled her endorsement of her party’s nominee Abdul El-Sayed, and has announced she is now backing his Republican opponent Mike Rogers in the Michigan Senate race. NBC News’ Liz Kreutz reports. Steve Kornacki breaks…
- Judge dismisses DOJ lawsuit over Alaska Senate electionA federal judge on Sunday dismissed the Department of Justice lawsuit that had sought to delay certification of the Alaska Senate election because of potential voter confusion from having two candidates named Dan Sullivan on the ballot…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions