How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (11/8-11/14)
26.3median
-850
Median 26.3Middle half 23.1 – 29.5
Install
Will the House pass a Puerto Rico statehood or status bill? (Before Jan 1, 2028)
The odds
41%chance▼ 4
How the odds have moved
Yes: 12% on Nov 6, 41% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41% | ▼ 4 | 39¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | 10.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Puerto Rico, House
Search ›- Mamdani and Hochul promise a new day for Puerto Rico after Democrats sweep midtermsThe Washington Post New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani and New York Gov. Kathy Hochul have pledged more support for Puerto Rico as it remains mired in multiple crises SAN JUAN, Puerto Rico — New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani and New York…
- Puerto Rico Senate Summons DeloittePuerto Rico’s Senate has summoned representatives of the consulting firm Deloitte and a second company, Ethree Solutions (E3), which the senator also wants to hear from, to a public hearing on Monday 9 November 2026. Senators want to know…
- New UAlbany Research Fund Accelerates Public Impact with the University of Puerto RicoALBANY, N.Y. (Nov. 6, 2026) — From using AI to understand climate and mental health equity to making Puerto Rico’s power grid more resilient to storms, the University at Albany is investing up to $250,000 to accelerate public impact…
- The collapse of Puerto Rico’s healthcare systemMonths to a year waiting for a doctor’s appointment and long wait times are just some of the problems patients suffer regarding Puerto Rico’s collapsing healthcare system. The situation has worsened due to the exodus of doctors and the…
- Puerto Rico Storms Prompt Flood AlertsPUERTO RICO · WEATHER Heavy thunderstorms dropped rain on northern Puerto Rico on Saturday afternoon, and forecasters warned drivers to avoid flooded roads. Heavy thunderstorms triggered a string of flood alerts across northern and eastern…
- Miss Dominican Republic heads to Puerto Rico after scary car crash that left her ‘unconscious’Miss Dominican Republic 2026, Melissa Núñez, is finally making her way to Puerto Rico for Miss Universe 2026 after surviving a frightening car accident that nearly derailed her journey to the international pageant. The Dominican beauty…
- US Extends Puerto Rico Grid EmergencyPUERTO RICO · ENERGY The US Department of Energy has renewed two emergency orders that keep Puerto Rico’s ageing power system running into February. The US Department of Energy has extended its emergency orders for Puerto Rico’s…
- Cost of Living in Puerto Rico in 2026PUERTO RICO · EXPATS & NOMADS A single person in San Juan needs roughly US$2,900 to US$3,500 a month to live in Puerto Rico in 2026, before health insurance and taxes. The biggest surprise for newcomers from the US mainland is electricity…
- Coast Guard Repatriates 60 Illegal Immigrants After Intercepting Vessel off Puerto RicoThe U.S. Coast Guard (USCG) repatriated 60 illegal immigrants to the Dominican Republic on March 30 after earlier interdicting these individuals in a vessel near Puerto Rico, the agency has said. “The repatriated aliens were transferred to…
- Sunrun Doubles Puerto Rico Distributed Power Plant Participation as Grid Operator Calls on Home Batteries to Help Prevent OutagesAmerica’s largest provider of home battery storage, solar, and home-to-grid power plants, today announced that participation in its Puerto Rico distributed power plant has doubled to more than 60,000 ... Sunrun Doubles Puerto Rico…
- Food banks in Puerto Rico and New York call for strengthening the SNAP program and expanding it to the islandAt an event organized by Somos Inc., lawmakers and other volunteers helped distribute food to vulnerable families ... At an event organized by Somos Inc., lawmakers and other volunteers helped distribute food to vulnerable families…
- FDNY commissioner 1,600 miles away at Puerto Rico political junket — as NYC blaze kills 6The FDNY boss offered “fire safety” advice from the annual Somos political conference in Puerto Rico Thursday — just hours after a fire killed six people in Brooklyn. Fire Commissioner Lillian Bonsignore was spotted rubbing elbows with…
Related markets
All congress ›Will the House vote on impeaching Pete Hegseth? (Before 2027)
89%Before Nov 14, 2026
- Before Nov 14, 202689%▲ 9
- Before Nov 21, 202689%▼ 2
- Before Jan 1, 202793%▼ 1
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
14.87%median
-100%100%
Median 14.87%Middle half 14.3% – 15.44%
How many Senate seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?
95%At least 22
2023
Will a cabinet member be impeached? (Before Jan 20, 2029)
78%Before Jan 1, 2027
- Before Jan 1, 202778%▲ 4
- Before Apr 1, 202793%▲ 13
- Before Jul 1, 202794%▲ 11
3 more
- Before Oct 1, 202794%▲ 5
- Before Jan 1, 202894%▲ 6
- Before Jan 20, 202994%▲ 2
Government shutdown on Dec 12, 2026?
38%chance▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions