Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
New Zealand
6%
4¢
9¢
$11.36
10.1K
Italy
6%
4¢
8¢
$12.50
14.5K
The Netherlands
6%
3¢
8¢
$12.50
6.0K
Germany
5%
3¢
7¢
$14.08
6.7K
Switzerland
5%
1¢
9¢
$10.87
6.9K
USA
5%
1¢
8¢
$12.05
7.0K
Greece
5%
2¢
7¢
$14.29
7.3K
Panama
4%
1¢
8¢
$12.99
6.7K
South Korea
4%
1¢
7¢
$13.51
484
Austria
4%
1¢
7¢
$13.70
8.8K
Finland
4%
2¢
6¢
$18.18
10.6K
Singapore
4%
1¢
6¢
$16.39
946
Japan
1%
0¢
1¢
15.4K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Can New Zealand's new government win over disillusioned voters?BBC News · 2 days agoNew Zealand election 'too close to call' - so who's won? New Zealand voted in a new government as fog choked the capital, Wellington, on Saturday - and the mood was as palpable as the grey weather. "It's pretty flat," 21-year-old Imogen…
No clear winner after tight New Zealand general electionBBC News · 2 days agoThere was no clear winner following New Zealand's election on Saturday, as the leaders of its two major parties preparing for negotiations to form a coalition government. Prime Minister Christopher Luxon's centre-right National Party won…
New Zealand cruise to victory as Scotland fadeBBC Sport · 2 days agoEwan Ashman scored a first-half hat-trick for Scotland but New Zealand controlled the game after the interval Tries: Ashman 3 Cons: Russell 3 Pens: New Zealand (24) ? Tries: Sititi, De Groot, Taylor, Barrett 2, Moorby, Aumua Cons: McKenzie…
Seven-try New Zealand too strong for ScotlandBBC Sport · 2 days agoRuthless New Zealand blew Scotland away in a high-class, seven tries to three Nations Championship victory at Murrayfield. Read the match report. Seven-try New Zealand too strong for Scotland. Video, 00:03:02Seven-try New Zealand too…
Ponga-inspired New Zealand reach World Cup finalBBC Sport · 3 days agoKalyn Ponga featured with a protective arm guard for New Zealand New Zealand (12) 34 Tries: Nikora, Gagai, McLean, Hughes, Willison, Nicoll-Klokstad Goals: Isaako 5 Tries: Fifita 2 Goals: Katoa Just 23 days after breaking his arm, Kalyn…
New Zealand in political limbo after knife-edge electionCNN · 2 days agoNew Zealand voters face weeks of political limbo after a knife-edge election left the country’s conservative coalition government at risk of losing its majority following just a single term in office. Saturday’s preliminary results show…
New Zealand Election Too Close to Call as Center-Right Bloc Holds EdgeNewsweek · 2 days agoNov 07, 2026 at 12:13 PM EST New Zealand’s election remained too close to call Saturday after preliminary results gave Prime Minister Christopher Luxon’s center-right coalition a razor-thin, one-seat parliamentary majority, even as the…
New Zealand beat Tonga to reach World Cup finalBBC Sport · 2 days agoKalyn Ponga returns to inspire New Zealand to a 34-10 victory in a pulsating encounter with Tonga as they reach their first World Cup final since 2013. MATCH REPORT: Ponga-inspired New Zealand reach World Cup final New Zealand beat Tonga…
New Zealand faces weeks of uncertainty with election ‘too close to call’the Guardian · 3 days agoNational party will be largest in parliament but ultimate shape of next government won’t be settled for some time New Zealand could be facing a weeks-long wait to know the shape of its next government, after its nail-biting election failed…
New Zealand election first count ends with two main parties nearly deadlockedNBC News · 3 days agoWELLINGTON — New Zealand’s ruling centre-right National Party and main opposition Labour were nearly deadlocked in the popular vote after initial counting in the nationwide general election on Saturday. Results from the Electoral…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions