Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before Jan 1, 2027
4%
4¢
5¢
$20.83
17.1K
Before Jan 1, 2028
33%
30¢
36¢
$2.78
302
Before Jan 20, 2029
49%
45¢
53¢
$1.89
18.7K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
China, Djibouti Oppose Somaliland StatehoodThe Rio Times · 10 days agoSOMALIA · HORN OF AFRICA China and Djibouti say they oppose recognizing Somaliland as a separate country. Their foreign ministers said so in Beijing on 21 October. China and Djibouti said in a joint statement that Somaliland is an…
Historic first: Israeli ambassador presents credentials in SomalilandIsrael National News · 8 days agoIsrael's first ambassador to Somaliland presents his credentials in Hargeisa, becoming the first ambassador from any sovereign state accredited to the territory. Historic first: Israeli ambassador presents credentials in Somaliland
Somaliland Police Arrest Three Journalists in 10 Days, Press Group SaysHiiraan Online · 10 days agoHargeisa (HOL) — Police in Somaliland arrested three journalists over a 10-day period in October, including a Horn Cable TV reporter who remained detained without charge, according to the Somali Journalists Syndicate (SJS), raising fresh…
Somaliland Minister Warns Against Attacks on Ethiopian Nationals in BoramaDawan Africa · 10 days agoHARGEISA, 31 October 2026 — Somaliland's Minister of Information Barkhad Jama Batuun has said the administration will not tolerate acts of abuse or intimidation against foreign residents, following incidents he said recently targeted…
Israel Lays Cornerstone for Somaliland Embassy as Ambassador Presents CredentialsThe Media Line · 9 days agoIsrael’s first ambassador to Somaliland, Michael Lotem, presented his credentials to President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi last week at the Presidential Palace in Hargeisa, where he laid the cornerstone for a new Israeli Embassy. Lotem’s…
In historic first, Israeli ambassador assumes his post in SomalilandIsrael & Jewish News - JNS · 8 days agoIsrael’s ambassador to Somaliland Michael Lotem presented his credentials last week at the Presidential Palace in Hargeisa, Israel’s Foreign Ministry said on Sunday. The historic ceremony marks not only the Jewish state’s first diplomat to…
Israeli envoy becomes world’s first ambassador to SomalilandIsrael & Jewish News - JNS · 8 days agoIsrael’s ambassador to Somaliland Michael Lotem presented his credentials last week at the Presidential Palace in Hargeisa, Israel’s Foreign Ministry said on Sunday. The historic ceremony marks not only the Jewish state’s first diplomat to…
Somaliland President Receives Credentials of Israeli Ambassador Michael LotemDawan Africa · 9 days agoHARGEISA, 1 November 2026 Somaliland President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi Irro has received the diplomatic credentials of Michael Lotem, whom Israel appointed as its ambassador to Somaliland, during a ceremony at the Somaliland…
Somaliland President Receives Credentials from Israeli EnvoyHorseed Media - Somalia News · 8 days agoHargeisa, Somaliland — Somaliland President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi (Irro) has received the diplomatic credentials of Israel’s envoy to Somaliland, Michael Lotem, at the presidential palace in Hargeisa. President Irro welcomed Mr…
Somaliland launches large-scale military exercise involving tanks, artillery and dronesHiiraan Online · 12 days agoThursday October 29, 2026 Hargeisa (HOL) — Somaliland military launched a large-scale training exercise Wednesday involving artillery, tanks, armored vehicles and drones, as part of efforts to strengthen combat readiness and improve…
Somalia: Somaliland Launches 'Heegan 2026' Military Drills Involving Tanks and DronesallAfrica.com · 12 days agoHargeisa — Somaliland's army has launched a military exercise involving live-fire training, tanks, artillery and drones to strengthen combat readiness and coordination between its units, the military said. Army commander Brigadier General…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions