Predictions › Politics › Supreme Court & courts
Yes: 5% on Oct 20, 3% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Police investigate former Prince Andrew's time with Jeffrey Epstein, Ghislaine Maxwell at Balmoral Sandhills Express · 7 days ago Authorities in Scotland are investigating information about time spent by Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, Ghislaine Maxwell and Jeffrey Epstein at Balmoral, the royal family’s private estate in Scotland. A Police Scotland spokesperson told ABC… Disgraced ex-Prince Andrew under fresh investigation over Balmoral trips with Jeffrey Epstein, Ghislaine Maxwell: cops New York Post · 11 days ago Disgraced former UK Prince Andrew Mountbatten Windsor is under fresh investigation over new info about his activities with sex-trafficking pals Jeffrey Epstein and Ghislaine Maxwell at the royal family’s Balmoral estate, UK police… Judge rejects Ghislaine Maxwell's Attempt to Overturn Conviction Drudge Retort · 8 days ago A federal judge in New York on Tuesday rejected Ghislaine Maxwell's challenge to her conviction, finding her claims "meritless" or "frivolous." A federal judge in New York on Tuesday rejected Ghislaine Maxwell's challenge to her… Andrew Faces Fresh Police Scrutiny Over Ghislaine Maxwell and Jeffrey Epstein's Balmoral Visits The Royal Observer · 11 days ago New day, new issues; it seems this is the current state of Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor's life. Andrew Faces Fresh Police Scrutiny Over Ghislaine Maxwell and Jeffrey Epstein's Balmoral Visits New day, new issues; it seems this is the current… Police Scotland confirms 'active enquiries ongoing' about Andrew, Epstein and Ghislaine Maxwell at Balmoral GB News · 11 days ago In February, Police Scotland said it was 'keen to speak to anyone with information' Police Scotland confirms probe into Epstein's Balmoral visit is at an 'early stage' Police Scotland has said it has received “information” and has “active… Police investigate Epstein visit to Balmoral with Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor and Ghislaine Maxwell The Independent · 11 days ago The convicted paedophile visited the royal estate in 1999 with Ghislaine Maxwell Police Scotland said it has received “information” and has “active enquiries ongoing” into the time Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, Jeffrey Epstein and Ghislaine… Police Scotland Investigates Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, Jeffrey Epstein, and Ghislaine Maxwell at Balmoral NewsCord · 10 days ago Published 30 Oct 2026, 17:21 UTCUpdated 30 Oct 2026, 17:28 UTC Police Scotland is investigating Balmoral stays involving Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, Epstein, and Maxwell. Inquiry began after receiving information and remains at a very… Police Investigating Andrew Windsor's Balmoral Visits With Jeffrey Epstein and Ghislaine Maxwell Amid Claims Women Were Trafficked to Royal Estate RadarOnline · 10 days ago Scottish police are investigating the disgraced prince's visits to Balmoral with Jeffrey Epstein. Oct. 30 2026, Published 1:35 p.m. ET Disgraced ex-Prince Andrew's sordid ties to Jeffrey Epstein are back in the spotlight, with Scottish… Democrats Say Blanche’s Ghislaine Maxwell Interview Was Meant “To Create a Conspiracy of Silence” @2paragraphs · 11 days ago House Judiciary Committee Democrats say Attorney General Todd Blanche’s July 2025 interview of convicted child sex trafficker Ghislaine Maxwell “potentially constituted witness tampering and obstruction of an official proceeding.” The… Epstein Files: Police Scotland Investigate Jeffrey Epstein, Ghislaine Maxwell and UK’s Former Prince Andrew’s Balmoral Visits Over Alleged Human Trafficking Claims The Sunday Guardian · 11 days ago While previous scrutiny primarily focused on urban properties in England, New York townhouses, and private island retreats, these latest inquiries mark the first time Scottish law enforcement has formally opened investigative steps… 'Grasping at straws': Judge dismisses Trump suit against Wall Street Journal over Epstein letter NPR · 9 days ago President Donald Trump walks from the podium after speaking at a campaign rally at the Ocean Center, in Daytona Beach, Fla., Friday, Oct. 30, 2026. Jacquelyn Martin/AP hide caption Saying the president was "grasping at straws," a federal… Judge dismisses Trump’s $10 billion defamation suit over Jeffrey Epstein birthday card story NBC News · 9 days ago A federal judge in Florida has tossed a revised version of President Donald Trump’s $10 billion defamation suit against the Wall Street Journal over a story about a birthday card he allegedly sent Jeffrey Epstein more than two decades ago… June 30, 2027 12% ▲ 1 December 31 12% Moylan v. Guam Society of Obstetrician and Gynecologists 7% ▼ 1 Republican National Committee v. Eakin 6% ▼ 2 Duncan v. Bonta 6% 5 more Buenrostro-Mendez v. Blanche 4% Norfolk Southern Railway v. Mallory 4% ▼ 1 Bird v. Iowa Migrant Movement for Justice 3% Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America v. O’Day 3% Khalid Shaikh Mohammad v. United States 2% 6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals 75% ▲ 6 Not nine justices 16% ▼ 1 7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals 7% ▼ 2 2 more 9 Conservatives and 0 Liberals 1% 8 Conservatives and 1 Liberals 1% October 31 <1% ▼ 1 December 31 9% ▼ 5 Ilhan Omar 23% ▼ 2 John Brennan 12% ▲ 1 Miles Taylor 9% ▲ 1 40 more Dan J. Sullivan 8% Peter Strzok 7% Fani Willis 7% Leon Black 7% James Clapper 6% ▼ 2 Letitia James 6% ▼ 1 Hunter Biden 6% Andrew Weissmann 6% Reid Hoffman 6% Cassidy Hutchinson 6% ▲ 1 Keith Ellison 5% Anthony Fauci 5% Kimberly Guilfoyle 5% ▼ 2 Adam Schiff 5% Lisa Monaco 5% Joe Kent 4% Jack Smith 4% Chris Krebs 4% Gustavo Petro 4% Tim Walz 4% ▲ 1 Elissa Slotkin 4% Christopher Wray 4% ▼ 1 Jacob Frey 4% Gavin Newsom 4% Jennifer Siebel Newsom 4% ▲ 1 Liz Cheney 3% ▼ 1 Mark Milley 3% Bill Clinton 3% Alvin Bragg 3% E. Jean Carroll 3% Chris Christie 2% Hillary Clinton 2% Lisa Cook 2% Tucker Carlson 2% Mark Kelly 2% Pam Bondi 2% Barack Obama 2% George Soros 2% Jerome Powell 1% Joe Biden 1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Settles on BBC, NBC, relevant government authority holding Ghislaine Maxwell
Trading closes Dec 31, 2026 6:59 PM ET
Traded $2.1K (78,131 contracts)
At stake $659
In the news 3 headlines today, 16 this week
Followed here since Oct 19, 2026
The rules If Ghislaine Maxwell has been released from all forms of government custody and is free to move and act without government-imposed physical restrictions before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi .
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