How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (11/8-11/14)
26.3median
-850
Median 26.3Middle half 23.1 – 29.5
Install
Will the House pass a bill to codify Roe v. Wade? (Before Jan 1, 2028)
The odds
78%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 20% on Nov 6, 78% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Nov 8, 10 PM ET84% → 78%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 78% | 76¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | 5.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: House, Wade
Search ›- DOJ probes SCOTUS leak of draft opinion overturning Roe v. WadeFox News contributor Mollie Hemingway joins ‘Saturday in America’ to analyze the DOJ’s criminal investigation into the 2022 leak of the Supreme Court’s draft opinion overturning Roe v. Wade. DOJ probes SCOTUS leak of draft opinion…
- Justice Alito calls Roe v. Wade leak a 'grave breach of trust'U.S. Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito discusses the draft opinion leak of the decision overturning Roe v. Wade in an interview. Justice Alito calls the leak a grave breach of trust but notes the current evidence is not yet strong enough…
- DOJ launches criminal investigation into leak of Supreme Court's Roe v. Wade draft opinionFox News DOJ launches criminal investigation into leak of Supreme Court's Roe v. Wade draft opinion Attorney Alex Swoyer joins 'Fox & Friends First' to discuss the Justice Department's criminal investigation into the 2022 leak of the…
- DOJ opens investigation into leak of Supreme Court opinion overturning Roe v. WadeFox News DOJ opens investigation into leak of Supreme Court opinion overturning Roe v. Wade Fox News correspondent David Spunt has the latest on the DOJ launching a federal investigation into the 2022 leak of the Supreme Court's draft…
- Imax CEO Wades Into ‘Cliff Booth’ Debate -- "Frankly I Don't Understand"Imax chief executive Rich Gelfond said Thursday he doesn’t get why some circuits won’t show The Further Mis-Adventures Of Cliff Booth when the Netflix films starts a two-week Imax run on Thanksgiving weekend. “Frankly, I don’t understand…
- DOJ launches criminal probe into Supreme Court leak that exposed ruling overturning Roe v WadeFox News correspondent David Spunt has the latest on the DOJ launching a federal investigation into the 2022 leak of the Supreme Court's draft opinion overturning Roe v. Wade on 'America Reports.' The leak that exposed the Supreme Court’s…
- "I love when I see a player get his 'F You' moment" - Dwyane Wade on Jayson Tatum silencing criticsComing into the 2026-27 NBA season, there were a lot of questions surrounding the Boston Celtics, especially after they had traded 2024 Finals MVP and five-time All-Star Jaylen Brown for a 36-year-old Paul George. On opening night, the…
- "It was my therapist at the time" - Dwyane Wade recalls writing a letter to basketball after career-threatening injuriesDwyane Wade is a well-established name in the world of basketball, having cemented his legacy as a Top 75 NBA player of all time. He remains synonymous with the Miami Heat, where he played 15 of his 16 seasons and achieved several great…
- Maurice “Tiny” Wade Totty OBITUARYBirth: May 6, 1955 Death: September 18, 2026 Maurice Wade “Tiny” Totty May 6, 1955 – September 18, 2026 Here’s a family history lesson, delivered with a pearl necklace, impeccable manners, and a very sharp pen. Some stories are told…
- DSA members express reservations about Jeffries as House speakerFox News chief congressional correspondent Chad Pergram reports on questions over who will lead Congress in 2027 on ‘Fox Report.’ ... DSA members express reservations about Jeffries as House speaker Fox News chief congressional…
- Trump asks UFC Boss to be White House Press SecretaryUS President Donald Trump has asked Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) boss Dana White to be White House press secretary, in a social media post. Trump asks UFC Boss to be White House Press Secretary US President Donald Trump has asked…
- Kansas U.S. House Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsThe expected vote is the total number of votes that are expected in a given race once all votes are counted. This number is an estimate and is based on several different factors, including information ... After a historic wave of…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions