South Africa balance of trade for October (October 2026)

Kalshi Economy › Growth & recession Closes Nov 30 · $12 traded · $12 at stake · prices read 8 h ago

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The odds

17median
-440
Median 17Middle half 11.4 – 22.5

How the odds have moved

Median: 17 on Oct 31, 17 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Above ZAR0.00B 99% 98¢ 99¢ $1.01 12.00
Above ZAR4.00B 94% 90¢ 98¢ $1.02
Above ZAR8.00B 87% 82¢ 92¢ $1.09
Above ZAR12.00B 73% 68¢ 78¢ $1.28
Above ZAR16.00B 55% 50¢ 60¢ $1.67
Above ZAR20.00B 35% 30¢ 40¢ $2.50
Above ZAR24.00B 19% 14¢ 24¢ $4.17
Above ZAR28.00B 9% 4¢ 14¢ $7.14
Above ZAR32.00B 5% 2¢ 8¢ $12.50
Above ZAR36.00B 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: South Africa

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions