When will the Senate pass a budget resolution?

Kalshi Politics › Congress Closes Jan 1, 2027 · $727 traded · $113 at stake · prices read 7 h ago

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The odds

11%Before Jan 1, 2027
  • Before Jan 1, 202711%▼ 3

How the odds have moved

Before Jan 1, 2027: 34% on Oct 20, 11% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Nov 5, 1 PM ETBefore Jan 1, 2027: 38% → 12%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Before Aug 15, 2026 1% $100.00 1.2K
Before Oct 1, 2026 1% $100.00 4.2K
Before Jan 1, 2027 11% ▼ 3 7¢ 14¢ $7.14 6.4K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Senate

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  • Angie Nixon reflects on Senate runCBS News · 36 h agoCBS News Bay Area Morning Edition Weekend 6am WBZ This Morning 8am CBS Colorado Mornings Weekend CBS News Los Angeles Weekend 6am CBS Miami News Sunday Morning CBS News New York Sunday 8am
  • How the midterms shook up Senate delegations for 2027CNN · 17 h agoDemocrats’ red-state dreams came true in the midterm elections. What feels like a watershed moment for those normally red states also reverses a recent trend of polarization on Capitol Hill. Heading into Election Day, there were only four…
  • How Democrats reshaped the Senate, in charts and mapsCNN · 40 h agoTwo years after President Donald Trump carried much of the country’s political map, voters in some of his strongest states delivered a dramatic reversal Tuesday. Democrats flipped seven Republican-held Senate seats, including in states…
  • Angie Nixon reflects on Senate loss as Florida faces tax changesCBS News · 36 h agoNovember 8, 2026 / 9:00 AM EST / CBS Miami This week on Facing South Florida, host Jim DeFede examined the aftermath of Tuesday's elections and the results shaping Florida's political landscape. DeFede sat down with state Rep. Angie Nixon…
  • Trump calls out Senate Republicans after midterm lossesFox News · 2 days agoRon Johnson, R-Wisc., joins 'Saturday in America' to discuss President Donald Trump's comments to Senate Republicans and a new bid for Senate minority leader. Trump calls out Senate Republicans after midterm losses Ron Johnson, R-Wisc…
  • Trump blasts the Senate: 'Nothing is getting through'Fox News · 2 days agoPresident Donald Trump slams the Senate, saying nothing is getting through and that it is one of the 'biggest' problems. Trump says voters saw these Senate flaws. Trump blasts the Senate: 'Nothing is getting through' President Donald Trump…
  • Trump declares Alaska Senate race ‘OVER’ and claims Republican wonNew York Post · 2 days agoPresident Trump declared the Senate race in Alaska “over” and his favored candidate Sen. Dan Sullivan (R-Alaska) the winner — even though the outcome of his race against former Rep. Mary Peltola (D-Alaska) was far from certain. Trump has…
  • Sen Ron Johnson pushes to delay Senate GOP leadership voteFox News · 2 days agoSen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., calls for Senate Republicans to delay Tuesday’s leadership elections following the party’s midterm losses on 'Saturday in America.' Sen Ron Johnson pushes to delay Senate GOP leadership vote Sen. Ron Johnson…
  • Dunleavy calls Alaska voting system ‘very confusing’ as razor-thin Senate race frozen in timeFox News · 31 h agoThe Alaska Senate race remains undecided as Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan and Democrat Mary Peltola are separated by fewer than 700 votes. Finn and Dunleavy discuss the impact of same-name candidate Dan J. Sullivan, who received thousands…
  • Sen Rick Scott calls for delay in Senate GOP leadership voteFox News · 2 days agoSen. Rick Scott, R-Fla., joins ‘Saturday in America’ to call for a delay in the Senate Republican leadership vote and urge the party to listen to voters’ economic concerns. Sen Rick Scott calls for delay in Senate GOP leadership vote Sen…
  • Scott Colom and Black Mississippians stand on the cusp of Senate history as vote count stretches onCNBC · 37 h agoDemocrat Scott Colom hasn't won Mississippi's U.S. Senate race, but the local prosecutor was welcomed as a historic figure Friday as he strolled through the Farish Street business district where civil rights leaders once organized. "It's…
  • Senator Rick Scott rejects plans to bid for Senate minority leaderFox News · 2 days agoFlorida Republican Senator Rick Scott joins 'Saturday in America' to discuss upcoming leadership roles and rules out challenging John Thune for Senate minority leader. Scott says he supports delaying ... Senator Rick Scott rejects plans to…

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions