How many Senate seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?
98%At least 22
2023
Install
Who will be Chair of Senate Commerce? (For the 120th Congress)
The odds
99%Maria Cantwell
- Maria Cantwell99%▲ 1
- Brian Schatz<1%▼ 2
- Edward J. Markey<1%▼ 2
How the odds have moved
Maria Cantwell: 92% on Nov 10, 99% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Cantwell | 99% | ▲ 1 | 98¢ | 100¢ | 34.4K | |
| Brian Schatz | <1% | ▼ 2 | 1¢ | 5.1K | ||
| Edward J. Markey | <1% | ▼ 2 | 1¢ | 6.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Chair of Senate Commerce, Maria Cantwell, Brian Schatz
Search ›- Pallywood: Sen. Brian Schatz Worried About the Freezing Gazans Getting Winter SuppliesSen. Brian Schatz is concerned about more than half a million children in Gaza who lack safe shelter as winter begins in Palestine. He demands that the Israeli government allow building materials and winter supplies into Gaza immediately…
- FAA Crisis Sparks Questions Over Billions Allocated to ICENewsweek is a Trust Project member See more of our trusted coverage when you search.to see more of our trusted coverage when you search. A nationwide air traffic control outage that grounded flights across the United States has prompted…
- Senate Moves to Strengthen NOAA Forecasting With $2.9 Billion ProposalLoading video...By Anna SkinnerAssociate News Editor Newsweek is a Trust Project memberSee more of our trusted coverage when you search.to see more of our trusted coverage when you search.The Senate has unanimously advanced a sweeping…
- Scott Colom, hoping to become Mississippi's next senator, got boost from Maria Cantwell in campaign's final stretchNov. 9—WASHINGTON — Sen. Maria Cantwell wasn't on the ballot on Election Day, but the Washington senator was on the campaign trail in Mississippi in the run-up to Nov. 3, helping fellow Democrat Scott Colom stage what may turn out to be…
- Restoring AmericaFootball conference championships are nearly here, with the Atlantic Coast Conference, Southeastern Conference, and Big Ten Conference set to host some of the biggest games on the first Saturday in December. It could be the last season…
- Duffy presses Republican Congress to fund ATC overhaul after nationwide outageAs US Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy faces the prospect of hours of congressional grilling over what precisely caused a massive outage of the country’s air traffic control system on November 13, 2026, he used a White House press…
- Democrats detail ‘must-have’ victories in 2027 after taking control of CongressThey are hoping to get some Republican backing on their bills, something voters have said they long for Bookmark CommentsGo to comments House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY) speaks to reporters as he departs a news conference at the…
- US Congress Democrats plot 'must-have' victories in 2027Reuters | Updated: 13-11-2026 16:30 IST | Created: 13-11-2026 16:30 IST SHARE Democrats poised to take full control of the US Congress next year are aiming for a fast start in the opening weeks of January, with what they say will be a…
- College sports overhaul moving in Congress. Why Byron Donalds 'hates' itFlorida Gov.-elect Byron Donalds made his position unmistakable when asked about a sweeping federal college sports bill during the Florida Board of Governors Trustee Summit at Florida International University. "I hate that bill," Donalds…
- Duckworth says she will demand answers from FAA on nationwide ground stopDuckworth, a former Army helicopter pilot and a Democrat, signaled that she will be conducting a formal investigation into the issues and said she would demand answers from the administration. Article Dig Deeper Senate Aviation…
- Senate confirms Bryan Bedford as new FAA head amid rising concerns about air safetyBedford was confirmed on a near party-line vote, 53-43. Republicans and industry leaders lauded President Donald Trump's choice of Bedford, citing his experience as CEO of regional airline Republic Airways since 1999. Sen. Ted Cruz, the…
- Civil Rights Letter to Senate Commerce Committee Leadership Urging Delay on Danielle Thumann Severs' FCC Nomination - The Leadership Conference on Civil and Human RightsCenter for Civil Rights and Technology Resources 09.23.26 A pdf of the letter is here. The Honorable Ted Cruz Committee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation The Honorable Maria Cantwell Committee on Commerce, Science, and…
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- Before Jan 202786%▼ 4
- Before Jul 202796%
Who will be Chair of Senate Environment and Public Works? (For the 120th Congress)
98%Jeff Merkley
- Jeff Merkley98%▲ 5
- Ed Markey1%▼ 3
- Sheldon Whitehouse1%▼ 3
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
14.93%median
-100%100%
Median 14.93%Middle half 14.38% – 15.49%
How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026?
1median
13
Median 1Middle half 1 – 1
Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader? (Before Jan 3, 2027)
98%Abdul El-Sayed
- Abdul El-Sayed98%▲ 4
- Troy Jackson97%▲ 14
- Bernie Sanders96%▲ 3
17 more
- Elizabeth Warren94%▲ 28
- Peggy Flanagan91%▲ 8
- Juliana Stratton77%▲ 7
- Elissa Slotkin75%▼ 3
- Scott Colom74%▲ 43
- Adam Hamilton37%▼ 14
- Mary Peltola35%▲ 2
- Jon Ossoff35%▲ 4
- James Talarico32%▼ 14
- Annie Andrews30%▼ 31
- Chris Murphy29%▼ 3
- Andy Kim20%▼ 3
- Raphael Warnock15%▼ 4
- Mark Kelly11%▲ 3
- Mark Warner10%▼ 5
- Cory Booker9%▲ 5
- John Fetterman6%▲ 3
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