How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (11/8-11/14)
26.3median
-850
Median 26.3Middle half 23.1 – 29.5
Install
When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?
The odds
12%Before Jan 1, 2027
- Before Dec 1, 20261%
- Before Jan 1, 202712%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Before Dec 1, 2026: 5% on Oct 19, 1% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | 1% | $100.00 | 364 | |||
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 2% | $50.00 | 2.5K | |||
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 1% | ▲ 1 | $100.00 | 2.4K | ||
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 4.1K | ||
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 12% | ▼ 1 | 11¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 3.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Senate
Search ›- Angie Nixon reflects on Senate runCBS News Bay Area Morning Edition Weekend 6am WBZ This Morning 8am CBS Colorado Mornings Weekend CBS News Los Angeles Weekend 6am CBS Miami News Sunday Morning CBS News New York Sunday 8am
- How the midterms shook up Senate delegations for 2027Democrats’ red-state dreams came true in the midterm elections. What feels like a watershed moment for those normally red states also reverses a recent trend of polarization on Capitol Hill. Heading into Election Day, there were only four…
- How Democrats reshaped the Senate, in charts and mapsTwo years after President Donald Trump carried much of the country’s political map, voters in some of his strongest states delivered a dramatic reversal Tuesday. Democrats flipped seven Republican-held Senate seats, including in states…
- Angie Nixon reflects on Senate loss as Florida faces tax changesNovember 8, 2026 / 9:00 AM EST / CBS Miami This week on Facing South Florida, host Jim DeFede examined the aftermath of Tuesday's elections and the results shaping Florida's political landscape. DeFede sat down with state Rep. Angie Nixon…
- Trump calls out Senate Republicans after midterm lossesRon Johnson, R-Wisc., joins 'Saturday in America' to discuss President Donald Trump's comments to Senate Republicans and a new bid for Senate minority leader. Trump calls out Senate Republicans after midterm losses Ron Johnson, R-Wisc…
- Trump blasts the Senate: 'Nothing is getting through'President Donald Trump slams the Senate, saying nothing is getting through and that it is one of the 'biggest' problems. Trump says voters saw these Senate flaws. Trump blasts the Senate: 'Nothing is getting through' President Donald Trump…
- Trump declares Alaska Senate race ‘OVER’ and claims Republican wonPresident Trump declared the Senate race in Alaska “over” and his favored candidate Sen. Dan Sullivan (R-Alaska) the winner — even though the outcome of his race against former Rep. Mary Peltola (D-Alaska) was far from certain. Trump has…
- Sen Ron Johnson pushes to delay Senate GOP leadership voteSen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., calls for Senate Republicans to delay Tuesday’s leadership elections following the party’s midterm losses on 'Saturday in America.' Sen Ron Johnson pushes to delay Senate GOP leadership vote Sen. Ron Johnson…
- Dunleavy calls Alaska voting system ‘very confusing’ as razor-thin Senate race frozen in timeThe Alaska Senate race remains undecided as Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan and Democrat Mary Peltola are separated by fewer than 700 votes. Finn and Dunleavy discuss the impact of same-name candidate Dan J. Sullivan, who received thousands…
- Sen Rick Scott calls for delay in Senate GOP leadership voteSen. Rick Scott, R-Fla., joins ‘Saturday in America’ to call for a delay in the Senate Republican leadership vote and urge the party to listen to voters’ economic concerns. Sen Rick Scott calls for delay in Senate GOP leadership vote Sen…
- Scott Colom and Black Mississippians stand on the cusp of Senate history as vote count stretches onDemocrat Scott Colom hasn't won Mississippi's U.S. Senate race, but the local prosecutor was welcomed as a historic figure Friday as he strolled through the Farish Street business district where civil rights leaders once organized. "It's…
- Senator Rick Scott rejects plans to bid for Senate minority leaderFlorida Republican Senator Rick Scott joins 'Saturday in America' to discuss upcoming leadership roles and rules out challenging John Thune for Senate minority leader. Scott says he supports delaying ... Senator Rick Scott rejects plans to…
Related markets
All congress ›Will the House vote on impeaching Pete Hegseth? (Before 2027)
89%Before Nov 14, 2026
- Before Nov 14, 202689%▲ 9
- Before Nov 21, 202689%▼ 2
- Before Jan 1, 202793%▼ 1
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
14.87%median
-100%100%
Median 14.87%Middle half 14.3% – 15.44%
How many Senate seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?
95%At least 22
2023
Will a cabinet member be impeached? (Before Jan 20, 2029)
78%Before Jan 1, 2027
- Before Jan 1, 202778%▲ 4
- Before Apr 1, 202793%▲ 13
- Before Jul 1, 202794%▲ 11
3 more
- Before Oct 1, 202794%▲ 5
- Before Jan 1, 202894%▲ 6
- Before Jan 20, 202994%▲ 2
Government shutdown on Dec 12, 2026?
38%chance▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions