How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (11/8-11/14)
26.4median
-850
Median 26.4Middle half 23.2 – 29.6
Install
Who will be Ranking Member of Senate Judiciary? (For the 120th Congress)
The odds
80%Mike Lee
- Mike Lee80%▼ 1
- Ted Cruz7%▼ 1
- Josh Hawley7%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Mike Lee: 80% on Nov 6, 80% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Lee | 80% | ▼ 1 | 75¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | |
| Ted Cruz | 7% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | |
| Josh Hawley | 7% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ranking Member of Senate Judiciary, Mike Lee, Ted Cruz
Search ›- Ted Cruz Says Democrats Are ‘Drunk on Their Own Power’ After Midterm WinsNov 06, 2026 at 09:19 PM EST Senator Ted Cruz said Democrats are "drunk on their own power" after their midterm victories, predicting the party will overreach despite what he described as a "generationally damaging" defeat for Republicans…
- Ted Cruz: Midterm was an 'ass-kicking' for RepublicansNBC News Morning Rundown: Judge blocks Trump’s arch, Mississippi on cusp of historic Senate upset, and are we approaching a new era of Alzheimer’s prevention?
- Ted Cruz calls GOP's midterm losses an ‘ass kicking’Ted Cruz calls GOP’s midterm losses an ‘ass kicking’ CNN Ted Cruz calls GOP’s midterm losses an ‘ass kicking’ Republican Sen. Ted Cruz described the 2026 midterm elections as a “blue tsunami” on his podcast Wednesday. Cruz blamed rising…
- Sen Ted Cruz: If you’re failing at the kitchen table, you’re not getting the job doneFox News Sen Ted Cruz: If you’re failing at the kitchen table, you’re not getting the job done Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, urges Republicans to listen to what voters voiced in the midterms and pledges a GOP rebound on ‘Hannity.’
- Ted Cruz calls GOP’s midterm losses an ‘ass kicking’ | CNN PoliticsRepublican Sen. Ted Cruz described the 2026 midterm elections as a “blue tsunami” on his podcast Wednesday. Cruz blamed rising costs, tariffs and the prolonged US war with Iran. Iranians gathered at a state-organized rally in Tehran and…
- Ted Cruz is Lonely in Texas: ‘The Radicals Are In Charge’Nov 04, 2026 at 10:33 PM EST Republican Senator Ted Cruz sounded the alarm that Republicans could lose every statewide office in Texas in the lead-up to the midterms. Few believed him. Now, after Democrats captured the governorship, a…
- Ted Cruz delivers scathing assessment after far-left Dems sweep midterms and more top headlines1. Ted Cruz delivers scathing assessment after Dems sweep midterms 2. Republicans look for answers after devastating midterm losses 3. Kamala Harris calls for Dems to 'be ruthless' with their power VIOLENT ENCOUNTER — 70-year-old poet…
- Ted Cruz says 'blue tsunami' took over Texas after Democrats swept statewide racesIn a victory speech after winning the Texas U.S. Senate race, the speaker celebrates a campaign turned into a movement built by underdogs. Emphasizing a politics of love over division, the newly elected senator pledges to represent all…
- ‘A Watergate-level repudiation’: Ted Cruz weighs in on midterm waveSen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, on Wednesday described the historic Democratic sweep in the midterm elections as an “ass-kicking” for Republicans, urging the party to deliver on economic promises in the next cycle. “It was not simply a bad 2006…
- Abdul El-Sayed Mocks Trump and Ted Cruz’s Cruel Rhetoric on ‘The View,’ Jokes He Wants ‘Jihadist Leprechaun’ Printed on a HatAbdul El-Sayed fired back at President Donald Trump and other Republican politicians who attacked his Muslim faith during his Senate campaign during an appearance on “The View” Thursday, just two days after his historic victory in…
- Mike Lee and Darren Yan Unveil ISO, a Next-Generation Management Firm Specializing in Creators, Live Streamers, Gaming and MusicFormer UTA and FaZe Clan leaders aim to shape representation for digital-native stars Gaming and digital media veterans Mike Lee and Darren Yan have joined together to launch ISO, a talent management firm that specializes in representing…
- Ted Cruz calls midterm results a "Watergate-level repudiation" as Talarico wins Senate raceCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Ted Cruz calls midterm…
Related markets
All congress ›Will the House vote on impeaching Pete Hegseth? (Before 2027)
91%Before Nov 14, 2026
- Before Nov 14, 202691%▲ 10
- Before Nov 21, 202692%▲ 1
- Before Jan 1, 202793%▼ 1
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
14.85%median
-100%100%
Median 14.85%Middle half 14.26% – 15.43%
How many Senate seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?
95%At least 22
2023
Will a cabinet member be impeached? (Before Jan 20, 2029)
79%Before Jan 1, 2027
- Before Jan 1, 202779%▲ 8
- Before Apr 1, 202793%▲ 13
- Before Jul 1, 202794%▲ 11
3 more
- Before Oct 1, 202794%▲ 5
- Before Jan 1, 202894%▲ 6
- Before Jan 20, 202994%▲ 2
Government shutdown on Dec 12, 2026?
38%chance▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions