Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Democratic party
97%
94¢
99¢
$1.01
Republican party
4%
1¢
6¢
$16.67
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: California Senate District, Senate District
Brian Goldsmith Declares Victory in California Senate District 24 – John Erickson ConcedesWEHO TIMES West Hollywood News · 4 days agoSmall business owner and former journalist Brian Goldsmith declared victory Thursday in the race to represent California’s 24th Senate District, citing a double-digit lead over opponent John Erickson as election officials continue counting…
Steve Padilla Projected to Win California Senate District 18 Re-ElectionHoodline · 5 days agoThe projection comes from FOX 5 San Diego and KUSI News, which called the race for Padilla. The Ballot Brief also covered candidate background and campaign priorities. Padilla released an election-night statement Tuesday thanking Senate…
Niello Lead Shrinks in Sacramento Senate District 6 RaceHoodline · 43 h agoAs of November 6, 2026, at 5:37 p.m. Friday, the California Secretary of State’s results page listed all 546 precincts in the district as partially reporting. The page said vote-by-mail, provisional and other ballots would continue to be…
New York State Senate District 4 Results 2026New York Focus · 3 days agoNew York State Senate District 4 Election Results 2026 New York Focus State Senator Monica Martinez, a Democrat, is running for reelection against Republican Brianne Wakefield in the 4th State Senate District, which covers part of Suffolk…
Rural shifts help Democrats flip Senate District 58Southernminn.com · 3 days agoDemocratic gains across much of Senate District 58, including in traditionally Republican rural communities, helped DFL challenger Mark Legvold narrowly unseat Republican Sen. Bill Lieske in Tuesday’s election. Legvold received 22,889…
In California Senate District 4 election, Duarte has lead over Brandon in early returnsModesto Bee · 6 days agoDemocrat Jaron Brandon and Republican Alexandra Duarte were awaiting the results of their closely watched California Senate District 4 race Tuesday night, as voters decided who would represent a sprawling district that includes Stanislaus…
Rochester teacher Simon Glaser flips Minnesota Senate District 24 seat@KTTCTV · 3 days agoROCHESTER, Minn. (KTTC) – Simon Glaser, a Rochester Public Schools teacher and political newcomer, won Minnesota’s Senate District 24 seat, flipping it for the first time since 2010. Glaser, a member of the DFL, received 51% of the vote…
NC elections director cautions staff after Senate District 24 commentsCarolina Journal · 3 days agoThe State Board of Elections’ executive director cautioned local elections officials Friday against commenting on election outcomes. Sam Hayes issued a statement responding to a WRAL report about the vote count in this week’s state Senate…
Steve Jacob to move chambers with win of Minnesota Senate District 20 seat@KTTCTV · 3 days agoALTURA, Minn. (KTTC) – Republican state Rep. Steve Jacob will move to the Minnesota Senate after winning Senate District 20 with 57% of the vote. Jacob defeated DFLer Jason Lohmann. The district covers parts of Dakota, Goodhue, Olmsted…
New York State Senate District 32 Results 2026New York Focus · 4 days agoNew York State Senate District 32 Election Results 2026 New York Focus State Senator Luis Sepulveda, a Democrat, is running unopposed in the 32nd State Senate District, which covers part of the Bronx. 0% of election districts reporting (0…
New York State Senate District 31 Results 2026New York Focus · 4 days agoNew York State Senate District 31 Election Results 2026 New York Focus State Senator Robert Jackson, a Democrat, is running unopposed in the 31st State Senate District, which covers parts of the Bronx and Manhattan. Jackson is also on the…
Charles Perry projected to win reelection to Texas Senate District 28KTXS · 4 days agoLUBBOCK, Texas — Republican incumbent Charles Perry is the projected winner of Texas Senate District 28. With 99% of votes counted, Perry received 69.7% of the vote. For the first time since 1995, Texas is projected to have a Democratic…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions