Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/2 - 11/8)
299.8median
250340
Median 299.8Middle half 288.1 – 309.8
Install
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15)
The odds
292.4median
250340
Median 292.4Middle half 282 – 304.9
How the odds have moved
Median: 292.3 on Nov 9, 292.4 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 260 | 96% | 95¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | ||
| Above 270 | 90% | 89¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | 2.0K | |
| Above 280 | 80% | ▲ 2 | 78¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 1.00 |
| Above 290 | 55% | ▲ 1 | 53¢ | 57¢ | $1.75 | 16.00 |
| Above 300 | 34% | ▼ 1 | 33¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 77.00 |
| Above 310 | 16% | 15¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 20.00 | |
| Above 320 | 9% | 8¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | ||
| Above 330 | 6% | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 448 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Suez Canal
Search ›- Maersk and Hapag-Lloyd Expand Return to Suez Canal Shipping RoutesMaersk and Hapag-Lloyd have announced another step in their gradual return to the Suez Canal, with their ME1 shipping service now operating via the Red Sea and Suez Canal instead of taking the longer route around the Cape of Good Hope. The…
- Sisi Orders Egypt Emergency Stockpile StudyEgypt’s President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi ordered officials on Saturday 7 November 2026 to study a strategic stockpile for emergencies and crises. The presidency, the president’s office, said he also told state bodies to finish a national…
- Suez Canal records its highest monthly revenue since 2023 in OctoberIn October, 1,490 vessels transited the canal - Russian Politics & Diplomacy Russian Politics & DiplomacyInto section â- Business & Economy Business & EconomyInto section â - Military & Defense Military & DefenseInto section â…
- Suez Canal revenue reaches highest monthly level since 2023The Suez Canal has recorded the highest revenue worth $724 mln since the Houthi attacks on vessels in the Red Sea began in 2023, Osama Rabie, Chairman of the Suez Canal Authority (SCA), said at a panel discussion organized by the Egyptian…
- El Sisi Orders Study of Strategic Reserves Amid Supply-Chain FearsThe authority will study a proposal for strategic reserves to help Egypt respond to emergencies, after the government said essential food supplies could last six months. After Egypt’s government said last month that essential food reserves…
- Sanctioned tanker towed by Suez Canal tug after engine failureTradeWinds News Sanctioned tanker towed by Suez Canal tug after engine failure Authority says salvage of Russian-trading ship was successful
- Tailwind returns Panda Express service to Suez CanalTailwind Shipping Lines will return its Far East–Mediterranean Panda Express (PAX) service to the Suez Canal route later in November, according to DynaLiners. As part of the adjustment, Tailwind will reverse the order of its Mediterranean…
- New Maps Show How Shipping Noise Spans the GlobeScientists have modeled shipping noise on a global scale. The world-wide maps will be presented for the first time at the 21st International Congress on Acoustics (ICA 2013), held June 2-7 in Montreal. New Maps Show How Shipping Noise…
- Suez Canal Authority Successfully Tows Oil Tanker Off Egypt’s North CoastThe Suez Canal Authority has successfully completed a major maritime rescue and towing operation involving the oil tanker M/T ALYSSUM, which suffered a sudden failure of its main engines off the coast of El Alamein, Egypt. The operation…
- Egypt, Slovenia discuss boosting trade, investment tiesMohamed Farid, Egypt’s Minister of Investment and Foreign Trade, and Nataša Pirc Musar, President of Slovenia, participated in a roundtable organised by the Federation of Egyptian Chambers of Commerce to explore opportunities for…
- Suez Canal Revenue Surges 94% to $724 Million as Shipping Traffic ReboundsThe Suez Canal recorded a significant recovery in October, generating $724 million in revenue as international shipping activity continued to return to the strategic waterway despite persistent geopolitical tensions across the region…
- Israel's Arab-led parties in spotlight after inconclusive electionA Palestinian citizen of Israel casts her ballot in the country's general election at a polling station in Umm al-Fahm, Israel, Oct. 27, 2026 Mahmoud Illean/AP hide caption KUFR QASI, Israel — In recent years many Palestinian citizens of…
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Traffic through the Panama Canal? (11/9 - 11/15)
193.4median
160230
Median 193.4Middle half 188.7 – 199.4
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (11/2 - 11/8)
191.6median
160230
Median 191.6Middle half 187.2 – 195.6
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8)
193.3median
140230
Median 193.3Middle half 185.8 – 202.8
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15)
192.7median
175240
Median 192.7Middle half 183.7 – 205
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions