Will the U.S. commit $15 billion to Sunnyside Yard? (Before Jan 1, 2028)

Kalshi Politics › States & cities Closes Dec 31, 2027 · $701 traded · $516 at stake · prices read 3 h ago

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The odds

23%Before Jan 1, 2028
  • Before Jul 1, 202710%
  • Before Jan 1, 202823%▲ 1

How the odds have moved

Before Jul 1, 2027: 10% on Oct 19, 10% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Before Jul 1, 2027 10% 5¢ 14¢ $7.14 3.1K
Before Jan 1, 2028 23% ▲ 1 18¢ 27¢ $3.70 1.8K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Sunnyside Yard

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  • A Caltrain railyard plan targets 5,834 new San Francisco homesHousingWire · 18 days agoSan Francisco planners opened CEQA scoping for the 4th and King railyard redevelopment led by Prologis, including an option with up to 5,834 homes. Approvals would require rezoning and a development agreement, and later phases hinge on…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions