Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before Jan 1, 2027
4%
1¢
7¢
$14.49
214.0K
Before Jan 1, 2028
16%
15¢
17¢
$5.88
47.0K
Before Jan 1, 2029
30%
28¢
31¢
$3.23
23.4K
Before Jan 1, 2030
33%
▲ 2
31¢
35¢
$2.86
24.5K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Taiwan accuses China of harassment after standoff between shipsPOLITICO · 9 days ago11/01/2026 8:27 AM EST TAIPEI, Taiwan — Taiwan’s coast guard accused China of harassment after a Chinese vessel entered restricted waters near a disputed coral island administered by Taiwan in the South China Sea. China claims…
It’s Not Just Taiwan: China Plots Indian Land Grabhotair.com · 7 days agoHotAir It’s Not Just Taiwan: China Plots Indian Land Grab So much of Washington's attention is concentrated on Taiwan that Americans sometimes forget China picks fights with nearly all of its other neighbors too. Beijing's claims to the…
Taiwan accuses Chinese Coast Guard of harassing ships off East CoastNews18 · 7 days agoTaipei [Taiwan], November 3 (ANI): Taiwan has accused the China Coast Guard of harassing ships off its eastern coast and attempting to assert what it described as fictional jurisdiction over the surrounding waters, as Beijing continues to…
Taiwan Expands Maritime Monitoring Technology Amid Chinese PressureThe Epoch Times · 7 days agoTaiwan demonstrated unmanned maritime systems developed by Taiwanese and foreign companies on Nov. 2 as its government expands its ability to monitor surrounding waters and collect its own maritime information amid Chinese pressure. The…
Taiwan says China asserting fake jurisdiction over eastern watersBaird Maritime · 8 days agoChina's coast guard is harassing shipping with its latest patrol off Taiwan's east coast and trying to exert a fictional jurisdiction, the Taiwanese Coast Guard said, adding it had sent its own ships to keep watch. China, which views…
China tests who governs Taiwan’s eastern watersContainer News · 8 days agoΑ Chinese coast guard ship off Taiwan's east coast broadcast a short radio message: it was carrying out law enforcement. Α Chinese coast guard ship off Taiwan’s east coast broadcast a short radio message: it was carrying out law…
China accused of undermining Taiwans status ahead of APEC summitNews18 · 8 days agoAccording to The Taipei Times, China reportedly sent Taiwan a communication that fell short of a formal invitation. An official familiar with the matter said Beijing had also avoided using the designation “Chinese Taipei", under which…
Taiwan to criminalize Nvidia AI chip smuggling to ChinaAsia Times · 7 days agoTaiwan is moving to criminalize the unauthorized export of advanced AI chips to China, aiming to close a loophole exposed when Nvidia-powered servers bought on the island reached Chinese buyers via Indonesia, Japan, and Hong Kong. The…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions