How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (11/8-11/14)
26.4median
-850
Median 26.4Middle half 23.2 – 29.6
Install
Will Congress pass a bill repealing any of Trump's tariffs? (Before Jan 1, 2028)
The odds
61%chance▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 60% on Nov 6, 61% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61% | ▲ 1 | 57¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 | 123 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: tariffs, tariff
Search ›- How Democrats will try to end Trump's tariffsThe battle for Congress is over. The war over President Donald Trump's tariffs is about to heat up. The knotted web of tariffs that Trump spent the last two years weaving could soon face its biggest threat, as Democrats prepare to unload…
- Healthcare, tariffs – but not Trump impeachment: Democrats chart next two years of powerMidterms success gives party potent leverage over Trump – expect tough campaigns of investigating and lawmaking “Costs, chaos, corruption”: after almost two years spent relentlessly criticizing Donald Trump for failing to address those…
- Democrats will take aim at Medicaid cuts, Iran war and tariffs, Jeffries saysHouse Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-New York) on Sunday reaffirmed his party’s goals of reversing cuts to Medicaid, ending the war in Iran and stopping President Donald Trump’s tariffs when Democrats take control of the House in…
- Democrats could target Trump tariffs after midterm sweep with some GOP aidWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a…
- UPS, FedEx and DHL are seeking tariff refunds. Here's what it means for consumers.April 21, 2026 / 4:08 PM EDT / CBS News Major shippers, including UPS, FedEx and DHL, have filed claims for tariff refunds with U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP), which on Monday launched a portal through which businesses can…
- Democrats plan to fight Trump’s Canada tariffs once they’re back in control of Congress: reportDemocrats are planning to fight President Trump’s tariffs once they assume control of Congress in January, hoping to win some Republicans to the cause, according to a report. Sen. Ron Wyden (D-Ore.), who’s poised to chair the Senate…
- Democrats consider reversing Trump tariffs on Canadian importsEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered…
- Democrats can’t end Trump's tariffs without RepublicansU.S. Sen. Ron Wyden, D-Ore., who is in line to chair the Senate Finance Committee, said he would use the panel to "reassert congressional authority over our country's trade policy to bring down costs, end Trump's disastrous and corrupt…
- Editorial: Voters rejected tariffs. Congress should tooThe Editors Bloomberg Opinion Amid the drubbing Republicans received in midterm elections on Tuesday, one point shouldn’t get lost: Voters have summarily rejected the president’s tariffs, and the new Democratic congressional majority…
- Editorial | End the tariffs hurting New YorkNew York consumers need a break. Our city has always experienced high costs, but it has only grown more expensive to live and work here since President Trump began imposing tariffs last year. There is hope now that the economic tide may…
- Six Puebla Projects Stall on US TariffsSix planned factory expansions and new plants in the Mexican state of Puebla, one of Mexico’s main car-making regions, are still on hold because of uncertainty over US tariffs. Carlos Sosa Spínola, head of the Puebla branch of Canacintra…
- DAY ONE FIGHT: Democrats Plan Healthcare, Iran War And Tariff Votes In New CongressDemocratic leader Hakeem Jeffries, who is in line to become House speaker, said his party would move quickly. Early votes are expected to target Medicaid reductions and restore enhanced tax subsidies intended to lower premiums for people…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions