Average Iowa farmland value in the 2026 ISU survey
$11,875median
$11,000$12,250
Median $11,875
Install
US Treasury cash balance on October 23, 2026
Settled Between $975 and $1,000A day before, traders had a median of $944.05
The last odds before it closed
$988.40median
- ✓ Above $850 billion97%
- ✓ Above $875 billion97%
- ✓ Above $900 billion96%
- ✓ Above $925 billion90%
- ✓ Above $950 billion84%▼ 25
- ✓ Above $975 billion84%▲ 46
- Above $1,000 billion21%▲ 12
- Above $1,025 billion21%▲ 13
- Above $1,050 billion4%
- Above $1,075 billion4%▲ 2
- Above $1,100 billion1%
How the odds have moved
Median: $967.97 on Oct 21, $988.40 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Above $850 billion | 97% | 610 | ||||
| ✓ Above $875 billion | 97% | 805 | ||||
| ✓ Above $900 billion | 96% | 341 | ||||
| ✓ Above $925 billion | 90% | 149 | ||||
| ✓ Above $950 billion | 84% | 514 | ||||
| ✓ Above $975 billion | 84% | 792 | ||||
| ✗ Above $1,000 billion | 21% | 418 | ||||
| ✗ Above $1,025 billion | 21% | 12.8K | ||||
| ✗ Above $1,050 billion | 4% | 15.6K | ||||
| ✗ Above $1,075 billion | 4% | 22.4K | ||||
| ✗ Above $1,100 billion | 1% | 34.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Treasury
Search ›- Treasury yields steady as investors await more economic dataBond yields were holding steady on Monday as investors awaited fresh economic data, after a strong employment print Friday. Yields on 10-year U.S. Treasurys — the main benchmark for mortgages, auto loans and credit card debt — were flat at…
- Goldman says 'the pieces are in place' for a shift in Treasury yields, global 10-yearsTurbulence in stock markets and a drop in energy costs have helped drive major government bond yields lower and may continue to affect them, according to Goldman Sachs. "The pieces are in place for ...
- Buying The Index Dip And Adding Treasury DurationBuy the dip? See why the semiconductor-led selloff may be oversold, how AI demand supports tech, and why Treasuries may hedge risk now. - The equity market's sharp selloff, driven by semiconductor weakness, reflects policy uncertainty from…
- From Chatbots to Economic Agents: Autonomous Treasury Management on BaseChatbots produce text. Economic agents allocate capital. We ran this transition on Base (Chain ID 8453). Our autonomous treasury runner operates under address 0x92Aff59709b03b9373b8fA887D24953D60fAd919. Here is the raw mechanics of how it…
- Why OKX Is Flagging Deposits From MEXC Ahead of the Treasury DeadlineOKX has started holding deposits that come from MEXC Global. The exchange is putting them through a compliance review. It is acting before a U.S. Treasury order takes effect. U.S. Senator Blumenthal Sends Letters to Binance, Tether, and…
- OKX Tells Users to Stop MEXC Transfers as Crypto Exchange Faces US Treasury ActionCustomers of crypto exchange MEXC are facing holds on their funds when they try to move assets to rival platforms. The problems began after the U.S. Treasury Department took action against the Seychelles-based exchange on Nov. 6. Users on…
- Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF $EDV Holdings Trimmed by Beverly Hills Private Wealth LLCBeverly Hills Private Wealth LLC reduced its stake in shares of Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF (NYSEARCA:EDV – Free Report) by 25.3% during the third quarter, according to the company in its most recent 13F filing with the…
- Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF $VGIT Position Boosted by Beverly Hills Private Wealth LLCPosted by Tristan Rich on Nov 9th, 2026 Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF stock opened at $57.74 on Monday. The firm’s fifty day moving average is $57.24 and its 200 day moving average is $58.70. Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury…
- Annuity or Treasury Ladder? What a 67-Year-Old With $600,000 Gets From EachOne choice pays for a decade and hands your principal back. The other pays until you die but takes the lump sum for good. With rates swinging after a hot jobs report, a $600,000 nest egg faces a harder call… On November 5, 2026, Treasury…
- Why Japanese Investors Could Become A Bigger Force In The U.S. Treasury MarketsChanges in Japanese bond yields and currency-hedging costs could alter the relative appeal of U.S. Treasuries, influencing global capital flows, Treasury yields, and the dollar. That arrangement is now changing, and it matters for anyone…
- Treasury seeks identity security contractor as Login.gov mandate takes holdThe U.S. Treasury is seeking contractor support for the security and administration of its shared authentication systems as new federal rules expand the use of Login.gov across public-facing government services. Responses are due Nov. 16…
- US Treasury Sanctions Eight Canadian Money Services Businesses Over Iran TransactionsThe U.S. Treasury Department has imposed sanctions on eight Canadian money services firms that it alleges have facilitated transactions with sanctioned Iranian entities, including cryptocurrency exchanges linked to the Islamic…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions