Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Uganda
22%
▼ 1
19¢
25¢
$4.00
1.5K
Democratic Republic of the Congo
11%
▼ 2
9¢
13¢
$7.69
1.2K
Lebanon
9%
▼ 1
7¢
11¢
$9.09
8.4K
Syria
6%
4¢
9¢
$10.75
8.7K
Yemen
5%
3¢
7¢
$14.08
3.1K
Burma (Myanmar)
4%
1¢
8¢
$12.82
326
Iraq
4%
1¢
6¢
$15.87
2.1K
Haiti
4%
1¢
6¢
$16.67
2.5K
Iran
4%
1¢
6¢
$16.95
32.7K
South Sudan
3%
1¢
6¢
$17.54
533
Gaza
3%
1¢
5¢
$20.41
419
Libya
3%
1¢
5¢
$20.41
279
Ukraine
2%
1¢
4¢
$25.64
7.0K
Sudan
2%
1¢
3¢
$33.33
265
North Korea
2%
1¢
3¢
$34.48
324
Russia
2%
1¢
2¢
$52.63
3.5K
Somalia
1%
0¢
3¢
$35.71
7.8K
Afghanistan
1%
1¢
2¢
$55.56
1.8K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Nicaragua Travel Advisory for US VisitorsThe Rio Times · 8 days agoThe Nicaragua travel advisory from the US State Department tells Americans to reconsider travel, although they can enter without a visa for 90 days. The warning is Level 3 on a four-step scale, and it sits beside US sanctions and a US tax…
Cyclone Murasu: IndiGo Issues Travel Advisory as Bad Weather Disrupts Vizag Flightsdeccanchronicle.com · 8 days ago\"Due to adverse weather conditions in Visakhapatnam, flight operations are impacted,\" IndiGo said. Visakhapatnam: IndiGo on Monday issued a travel advisory after adverse weather conditions disrupted flight operations in Visakhapatnam…
UK Issues New Travel Advisory For 16 Countries Including Pakistan, UAE And TürkiyeUrduPoint · 10 days agoMian Nadeem Published October 31, 2026 | 04:51 PM British citizens planning travel to the Middle East should prepare for possible flight cancellations, airspace closures and travel disruptions, the UK Foreign Office said. A government…
State Cross Country Travel Advisory: Leave Early SaturdayCHSAANow.com · 10 days agoAnyone headed to the state cross country championships on Saturday, Oct. 31, should plan on a longer drive than usual. Major construction, road closures and lane restrictions are affecting the routes to and around Norris Penrose Event…
Qatar Embassy in US issues travel advisory for Qatari citizens@thepeninsulaqatar · 12 days agoDoha, Qatar: The Embassy of Qatar in Washington, D.C., on Wednesday, urged Qatari citizens travelling to the United States to comply with local laws and regulations, highlighting entry requirements, electronic device inspections and the…
No need to raise alert level in Saudi Arabia or issue a travel advisory, says envoyThe Manila Times · 13 days agoMANILA, Philippines — Philippine Ambassador to Riyadh Raymond Balatbat said there was no need to raise the alert level in Saudi Arabia or issue a travel advisory amid recent attacks on the kingdom by Iran-backed Houti rebels. An attack on…
ICE Ordered To Return Man Deported To African Nation He Has No Ties ToNewsweek · 9 days agoOct 31, 2026 at 02:39 PM EDT Oct 31, 2026 at 02:41 PM EDT A federal judge in Minnesota has ordered that the Donald Trump administration return a Nicaraguan national from the Central African Republic, where he has been since August despite…
US Lawmaker Presses for Tougher China Travel WarningThe Traveler · 8 days agoA US lawmaker is urging a stricter China travel advisory, citing new detentions, tighter exit rules and mounting concern over risks to American travelers. A senior member of the US Congress is pressing the State Department to toughen its…
UK Tightens Foreign Office Travel Warnings for 13 CountriesThe Traveler · 8 days agoThe UK Foreign Office has strengthened travel warnings covering 13 countries, prompting British travelers to reassess winter and early 2027 itineraries and insurance cover. British travelers planning winter and early 2027 trips are being…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions