Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Inheritance Tax Rise
20%
2¢
28¢
$3.57
361
Council Tax Replacement
7%
4¢
10¢
$10.00
372
Annual Wealth Tax
5%
2¢
7¢
$14.29
235
Mansion Tax Increase
4%
4¢
98¢
$1.02
640
Capital Gains Tax Rise
3%
6¢
$16.67
6.2K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Inheritance Tax Rise, Council Tax Replacement, Annual Wealth Tax
Colau proposes annual wealth tax of up to 3%RUSSPAIN.com · 4 days agoThe Frente Amplio estimates its proposed wealth levy would affect about 231,000 people, while 99% of the population would remain outside it. The figures come from the party, which says those affected would represent roughly 1% of…
Miami-Dade flips blue – Republicans win Florida governor and SenateThe Miami Hurricane · 4 days agoMiami-Dade County voted blue for the first time since the 2020 elections, despite Republicans winning Florida’s governor and Senate seat. Governor: Byron Donalds vs. David Jolly Byron Donalds, the Republican candidate endorsed by President…
What does DSA’s vision for America actually look like?Americans for Prosperity · 5 days agoImagine an America where government owns major businesses, controls more housing, manages your health care decisions, and tells communities what energy source is best for them. Now imagine a political system without the Senate or the…
California's billionaire tax fight in Massachusetts?| Power PlayBostonGlobe.com · 14 days agoFeaturing: Mark Zuckerberg, Jensen Huang, Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, Gavin Newsom, Jessica Tang, Sergey Brin, Larry Page, Jay Ash, Phineas Baxandall, Cory Munchbach, Sara Fraim, Sam King, Mark Lorion, Richard Fraiman, Ian Judge…
Who Is Bankrolling Angie Nixon’s Late Senate Push?pjmedia.com · 15 days agoIn the final weeks of the race for the Senate in Florida, a newly formed super PAC has disclosed more than $6.4 million in spending against Sen. Ashley Moody (R-Fla.). Moody faces state Rep. Angie Nixon (D-Fla.), who is campaigning to…
Democrat Campaigns on 'Working Families Guarantee' for FloridaWest Orlando News · 16 days agoDemocrat Campaigns on ‘Working Families Guarantee’ for Florida West Orlando News Democrat Campaigns on ‘Working Families Guarantee’ for Florida A statewide Democrat is campaigning on a “working families guarantee” for Florida with a lot of…
Governments need more revenue, Part Two: How Australia could raise itPearls and Irritations · 17 days agoIf Australia needs substantially more revenue, the options include taxing carbon and resource profits, taxing wealth more heavily and reforming the GST. In Part One of this article I made the case that the Australian government needs to…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions