US corn yield in the January 2027 USDA report

Kalshi Economy › Growth & recession Closes Jan 12, 2027 · $9 today · $535 traded · $479 at stake · prices read 11 h ago

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The odds

181.2median
177.6181.2
Median 181.2Middle half 181.2 – 181.2

How the odds have moved

Median: 181.2 on Oct 14, 181.2 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Below 181.2 bu/acre 50% 50¢ 55¢ $1.82 581
Above 181.2 bu/acre 46% ▲ 1 44¢ 51¢ $1.96 473
Exactly 181.2 bu/acre 4% 1¢ 7¢ $14.29 131

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: USDA

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  • ASUMH receives $720,298 USDA grantBaxter Bulletin · 3 days agoPublished 12:54 am Saturday, November 7, 2026 Arkansas State University-Mountain Home has received a $720,298 grant from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) through its Distance Learning and Telemedicine (DLT) grant program to expand…
  • USDA backs producer-owned plantFarmWeekNow · 4 days agoAt a rally in Weatherford, Texas, on Oct. 29, Vice President JD Vance announced a $24.6 million commercial loan from USDA Rural Development to construct a new beef processing facility for West Texas Beef Producers LLC. The company was…
  • USDA releases Local Food Marketing Practices DataFruit Growers News · 3 days agoResources to improve business operations, educate about the latest products & provide growing insights A NEW print & digital brand for those in the organic farming business Produce industry insights — from raw to ready The potato…
  • Passion Fruit from Vietnam Proposed for USDA Import AuthorizationSandler · 3 days agoOctober 22, 2026 // Trade Report The Department of Agriculture’s Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service is seeking public comment by Dec. 18 on a proposal to authorize the importation of fresh passion fruit from Vietnam into the U.S…
  • Exporters sell US soybeans to unknown destinations - USDAMarketScreener · 3 days agoPublished on 10/28/2026 at 12:26 pm EDT Strong Jobs and Shaky Stocks November 06, 2026 at 09:19 am EST The AI Boom Hits a Wall CBOT Trends-Wheat steady-up 1 cent, corn steady-down 1, soy down 6-9
  • Exporters sell US soybeans to China - USDAMarketScreener · 3 days agoPublished on 11/06/2026 at 09:46 am EST Strong Jobs and Shaky Stocks November 06, 2026 at 09:19 am EST The AI Boom Hits a Wall CBOT Trends-Wheat up 3-4 cents, corn up 1-2, soy up 3-5
  • USDA To Purchase Fresh Oranges and GrapefruitCitrus Industry Magazine · 4 days agoDaniel Cooper November 6, 2026Fresh, USDA The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) plans to purchase $10 million each of American-grown fresh oranges and grapefruit as part of up to $472.5 million in purchases of American agricultural…
  • CBOT corn creeps higher before USDA crop data next weekTradingView · 3 days agoTradingView CBOT corn creeps higher before USDA crop data next week
  • USDA Announces the Great American Christmas MarketUSDA (.gov) · 3 days agoOfficial websites use .govA .gov Website belongs to an official government organization in the United States. Providing a safety net for millions of Americans who are food-insecure and for developing and promoting dietary guidance based on…
  • Three ND meatpacking operations to receive USDA grantsPrairie Public · 3 days agoThree North Dakota beef processors will receive grants from USDA’s Meat and Poultry Expansion program. They are Butcher’s Edge in Edgeley, which will receive a $169,000 grant; Spruce Hill Meats LLC in Bowman, which will receive a $157,000…
  • Online survey finds trust gap in USDA crop dataFarmWeekNow · 4 days agoConfidence in USDA crop data is low among farmers following major revisions to crop reports this year, according to a new survey from Ag View Solutions. Nearly three-quarters of almost 1,200 farmers and farm managers surveyed said they…
  • USDA to launch AI tool to check crop production data after errorsThe Star · 3 days agoCHICAGO, Nov 6 (Reuters) - The US Department of ⁠Agriculture will use an artificial intelligence tool it built to check data in next week's monthly crop production report, agency officials said, ⁠after a series of data missteps eroded…

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