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USD share of Swift international payments in December 2026
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 58.76% on Oct 19, 58.77% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 57.0% | 95% | ▲ 1 | 90¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | |
| Above 57.5% | 89% | ▲ 1 | 84¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | |
| Above 58.0% | 78% | ▲ 1 | 73¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | |
| Above 58.5% | 62% | ▲ 1 | 57¢ | 66¢ | $1.52 | |
| Above 59.0% | 41% | ▲ 1 | 36¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | 401 |
| Above 59.5% | 24% | ▲ 1 | 19¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | |
| Above 60.0% | 12% | 7¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Swift
Search ›- Bill Maher says dining with Trump is like dating Taylor SwiftTalk show host Bill Maher responded to President’s Trump’s epic 1,318 word rant calling him a “total loser” – comparing dining with the commander in chief to dating Taylor Swift. “I mean, eating with Trump is like dating Taylor Swift. It’s…
- NASA’s Swift Observatory Is Falling to Earth. Where Could It Land?Oct 31, 2026 at 06:37 PM EDT An aging NASA space telescope that spent more than two decades studying some of the universe's most powerful explosions is expected to plunge back through Earth's atmosphere within days, raising questions about…
- Bill Maher Fires Back at Trump by Comparing Him to Taylor SwiftBill Maher learned that when it comes to Donald Trump, no good deed goes unpunished. Well, Maher took the stage of “Real Time” Friday night and, before welcoming Ted Cruz and the aforementioned Kid Rock as guests, wasted no time addressing…
- Taylor Swift's NEXT Album?! Debut TV Theories, Chiefs Controversy & Maroon SHOCKER!Is Taylor Swift releasing a BRAND NEW album before Debut (Taylor's Version)?! 👀 Patrick Allen and JoJo in KC are back for a special Halloween edition of Travis + Taylor, breaking down Taylor's latest career milestone, new album theories, a…
- The Hartford Insurance Group CEO Chris Swift sits down with Jim CramerThe Hartford Insurance Group CEO Chris Swift joins 'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer to talk the state of the insurance business. The Hartford Insurance Group CEO Chris Swift sits down with Jim Cramer
- ‘Swift justice’: Student List supporters focus on cleaning up Serbia’s rotten institutionsAfter improbable election victory, the unconventional grassroots movement says it will prioritise dismissal of corrupt officials In Belgrade’s Pioneers Park, just across from the national assembly, a small crowd craned their necks to…
- Taylor Swift’s ‘I Knew It, I Knew You’ Spends Fourth Month at No. 1 on Top Movie Songs ChartSwift's Toy Story 5 soundtrack contribution leads challengers from Spider-Man: Brand New Day and Practical Magic 2. Taylor Swift’s “I Knew It, I Knew You” spends its fourth month at No. 1 on Billboard’s Top Movie Songs chart, powered by…
- “Taylor Swift Doesn’t Have That Backhand” – Tennis World Reacts To Caroline Wozniacki & Husband David Lee’s Swift-Travis Kelce Halloween CostumeCaroline Wozniacki and her husband David Lee dressed up as Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce for a Halloween party in Miami. The former World No. 1 women's tennis icon shared a picture of her and Lee's elaborate Halloween party costumes and…
- Watch ‘SNL’s Michael Che and Colin Jost Almost Get Stiffed By a Taylor Swift Question on ‘Who Wants to Be A Millionaire’The "Weekend Update" hosts were saved by Jost's twisted logic about the shortest track on The Life of a Showgirl. “Weekend Update” co-anchors Michael Che and Colin Jost are used to sitting behind an anchor desk on Saturday Night Live and…
- Nelly Recalls Taylor Swift Flying Him Out to Perform at Her Houston Show for $50,000: ‘I Would’ve Did It for Free’Nelly and Ashanti were guests at Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding over the summer. Nelly and Ashanti pulled up to Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s star-studded wedding in NYC over the summer, but many might not know that the St. Louis…
- Russia’s bank says hackers targeted its SWIFT computersGlobex President Valery Ovsyannikov told Reuters via the press service that the attempted attack occurred last week, but that "customer funds have not been affected." The bank's disclosure comes after SWIFT, whose messaging system is used…
- Taylor Swift reacts to leaked wedding photosTaylor Swift expressed her anger after her wedding pictures were leaked to the public. A source also told the Daily Mail this week that all of the wedding decor was packed up and burned afterward so that nothing would end up in the hands…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions