Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Yes
4%
▼ 1
1¢
6¢
$16.67
3.0K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
British ship opens fire off Falkland Islands amid rising tensions with ArgentinaExpress.co.uk · 7 days agoJavier Milei, president of Argentina, signalled that he was willing to "move quickly" to "recover" the islands last month, claiming they are "under illegal foreign occupation" by the UK. The Falklands have long been a source of diplomatic…
British patrol ship opens fire off Falkland Islands amid rising tensions with ArgentinaThe Independent · 7 days agoHMS Medway unleashed 120 live rounds in the South Atlantic as part of a training exercise A British warship permanently stationed in the South Atlantic has fired 120 live rounds off the coast of the Falkland Islands as part of a military…
Royal Navy warship opens fire off Falkland Islands as row with Argentina ramps upDaily Mirror · 7 days agoHMS Medway fired live rounds in a military exercise off the Falkland Islands(Image: PA) A Royal Navy warship has fired 120 live rounds off the coast of the Falkland Islands as part of a military exercise. HMS Medway, a River-class patrol…
Falklands: Argentina’s new legal fight over the Sea Lion oil projectThe Lowy Institute · 8 days agoArgentine fans wave a national flag reading "The Malvinas (Falkland Islands) belong to Argentina" during an international friendly football match at the Mas Monumental stadium in Buenos Aires on 6 October 2026 (Luis Robayo/AFP via Getty…
Argentina’s Kirchner is betting on Trump’s defeat — and her own comebackThe Washington Post · 8 days agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Cristina Fernández de…
SPAIN-ARGENTINA/San Mateo Daily Journal · 7 days agoSan Mateo Daily Journal Argentina's President Javier Milei delivers a speech at the New Economy Forum in Madrid Oct. 21. Argentina's Milei pitches a regulation-free AI haven at the end of the world Data centers are facing a growing…
British patrol ship ‘opens fire’ near Falkland IslandsUK Defence Journal · 8 days agoThe ship said: “120 rounds downrange. With @FOST embarked, we took the opportunity for further routine training and put our 30mm Automatic Small Calibre Gun through its paces again. Practice = Precision.” Flag Officer Sea Training sends…
Will Argentina’s citizenship scheme lure property buyers from mainland China and Hong Kong?South China Morning Post · 9 days agoArgentina is the latest country seeking to lure investors with an investment-for-citizenship programme, providing another residency and diversification option for the wealthy, including those from mainland China and Hong Kong, according to…
An Oxford professor to sit as the UK's chosen judge in the Falklands dispute in HamburgMercoPress · 7 days agoMercoPress An Oxford professor to sit as the UK's chosen judge in the Falklands dispute in Hamburg British jurist Vaughan Lowe, emeritus professor of public international law at the University of Oxford, will be the judge ad hoc chosen by…
Argentina’s YPF Falls 6.9% as Shares Slide | Argentina Market Report, Nov 2The Rio Times · 7 days agoArgentina’s stock market had a rough start to November. Buenos Aires’ biggest oil company, YPF, fell 6.9%, and every other busy blue-chip name except two small ones closed lower. The weak spots were oil and banks. YPF dropped 6.9%, Vista…
Argentina Data Center DreamsColumbia Missourian · 7 days agoColumbia Missourian Wind turbines stand on the field near Trelew, Argentina, Wednesday, Oct. 28, 2026. - To view our latest e-Edition click the image on the left. The Pulse of I-70 A visual roadtrip from Odessa to St. Charles. Managing…
Argentina Airport Strike Set for 6 NovemberThe Rio Times · 7 days agoATE, Argentina’s state workers’ union, plans a stoppage at 27 airports on Friday, 6 November. No cancellations are confirmed and no official response was found. Argentina’s main state workers’ union, ATE, announced on Monday, 2 November, a…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions