Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
47%↑ 7.50%
- Reaches 7.5%47%
- Falls to 6.5%9%
- Falls to 6.25%5%
Already reached: ↑ 7.25%, ↑ 7.00%, ↑ 6.75%, ↑ 6.50%, ↑ 6.30%, ↑ 6.20%
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US new home · Median sales price in October (October 2026)
The odds
$394,286median
$370,000$435,000
Median $394,286Middle half $382,857 – $407,778
How the odds have moved
Median: $382,530 on Oct 27, $394,286 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $375,000 | 87% | 82¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | 210 | |
| Above $380,000 | 79% | 74¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | 214 | |
| Above $385,000 | 72% | 67¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | 133 | |
| Above $390,000 | 62% | 57¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | 550 | |
| Above $395,000 | 48% | 47¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | 479 | |
| Above $400,000 | 40% | 35¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | 172 | |
| Above $405,000 | 30% | 25¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 384 | |
| Above $410,000 | 21% | 16¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | ||
| Above $415,000 | 13% | 8¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | ||
| Above $420,000 | 9% | 4¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | ||
| Above $425,000 | 6% | 1¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 2.00 | |
| Above $430,000 | 5% | 1¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 50.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Median
Search ›- Chrome extension usage statistics: the median is 13 usersChrome extension usage statistics are almost never published, so most developers have no idea whether their user count is good. A random sample of 2,947 Chrome Web Store listings from October 2026 gives a blunt answer: the median extension…
- Median Maintenance Scheduled for Tuesday Along Highway 65/69Median maintenance is scheduled on Tuesday along Highway 65/69 from 9 a.m. – 12 p.m. The city is conducting seasonal median maintenance operations. The city advises residents to be cautious and observe all posted speed limits and Median…
- Empty Bus Turns Turtle After Hitting Median Near Karur, Crew InjuredThe bus was returning to Tirupur empty after dropping off passengers at Tiruchirappalli Empty Bus Turns Turtle After Hitting Median Near Karur, Crew Injured The bus was returning to Tirupur empty after dropping off passengers at…
- Median Age at First Marriage, 2021research brief on median age at first marriage, 2021 Median Age at First Marriage, 2021 Family Profile No. 15, 2022 The median age at first marriage in the United States has increased steadily since the mid-20th century, with a persistent…
- Street-level median house prices from HM Land Registry Price Paid Data in PythonTo get street-level median house prices in England and Wales, download HM Land Registry Price Paid Data, filter by postcode prefix, group by street and take the median, keeping only streets with enough sales. This tutorial does it with…
- 29-year-old Waukegan man killed after SUV drifts onto median, strikes concrete barrier in Green OaksA 29-year-old Waukegan man died after his SUV drifted from the roadway onto the center median and struck a concrete barrier in Green Oaks early Sunday morning, the sheriff’s office said. The Libertyville Fire Department and Lake County…
- Non-Invasive Median Nerve Stimulation May Improve Rhythm Outcomes After AF Ablation: StudyUSA: A sham-controlled pilot study published in Heart Rhythm has found that non-invasive median nerve stimulation, used as an adjunct to atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation, showed promise in improving ... USA: A sham-controlled pilot study…
- Report: Condos’ Median Price Lowest Since Early 2023; Home Inventory Near 12-Year HighCondominium buyers in the 27-county area covered by the Northwest Multiple Listing Service paid a median price of $435,000 in October, the lowest since February 2023 and down 13% from a year ago, NWMLS said Thursday in its latest monthly…
- Brownsville Buyers Face Fewer Choices as Prices Slip Below the National MedianListings with price cuts Buyers in Brownsville are working with a shrinking pool of options—active listings fell about 9.5% year-over-year, leaving just 1,550 homes available. That's a sharp contrast to the national picture, where active…
- BIS data shows fiat currencies last a median 33 years, and Bitcoin fans noticedThe Bank for International Settlements has put a number on how long state-issued money tends to survive. The answer is a median of 33 years. That figure is now circulating on social media as evidence that crypto challenges government…
- Fentanyl-Fueled Driver Takes Out Median, Gas Meter, Fence and More in BremertonDUI crashes into yards are not uncommon, we've seen them in the Columbia Basin, and we've seen our share of drivers who go through roundabouts instead of 'around' them. But this goes way beyond that. Around 9 AM, the Kitsap County…
- Brainstem Neurons in Median Raphe Generate Sleep Drive in MiceResearchers mapped mouse brain circuits to reveal that median raphe neurons actively generate sleep drive and govern non-rapid eye movement sleep.
Related markets
All housing ›US existing home sales for October (October 2026)
3.80median
3.504.40
Median 3.80Middle half 3.73 – 3.89
US existing home · Median sales price in October (October 2026)
$416,364median
$390,000$440,000
Median $416,364Middle half $412,456 – $419,610
NYC median asking rent in December 2026
$3,999median
$3,700$4,600
Median $3,999Middle half $3,933 – $4,088
US mortgage applications change in the next MBA report (Nov 11, 2026)
1%median
-12%12%
Median 1%Middle half -1.94% – 4.09%
US new home · Sales in October (October 2026)
671,200median
580,000760,000
Median 671,200Middle half 632,414 – 708,000
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions