US new home · Median sales price in October (October 2026)
$394,286median
$370,000$435,000
Median $394,286Middle half $382,857 – $407,778
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US new home · Median sales price in September (September 2026)
Settled Between $400,000 and $405,000A day before, traders had a median of $394,388
The last odds before it closed
$394,444median
- ✓ Above $365,00097%▲ 1
- ✓ Above $370,00097%▲ 1
- ✓ Above $375,00096%▲ 3
- ✓ Above $380,00094%▲ 6
- ✓ Above $385,00082%▲ 5
- ✓ Above $390,00074%▲ 8
- ✓ Above $395,00047%▼ 5
- ✓ Above $400,00043%▲ 5
- Above $405,00029%▲ 2
- Above $410,00021%▲ 2
- Above $415,00012%▼ 1
- Above $420,0005%▼ 2
How the odds have moved
Median: $395,000 on Oct 19, $394,444 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Above $365,000 | 97% | 10.00 | ||||
| ✓ Above $370,000 | 97% | 417 | ||||
| ✓ Above $375,000 | 96% | 7.00 | ||||
| ✓ Above $380,000 | 94% | 149 | ||||
| ✓ Above $385,000 | 82% | |||||
| ✓ Above $390,000 | 74% | 424 | ||||
| ✓ Above $395,000 | 47% | 253 | ||||
| ✓ Above $400,000 | 43% | 85.00 | ||||
| ✗ Above $405,000 | 29% | 568 | ||||
| ✗ Above $410,000 | 21% | 56.00 | ||||
| ✗ Above $415,000 | 12% | 136 | ||||
| ✗ Above $420,000 | 5% | 286 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Median
Search ›- Non-Invasive Median Nerve Stimulation May Improve Rhythm Outcomes After AF Ablation: StudyMedical Dialogues USA: A sham-controlled pilot study published in Heart Rhythm has found that non-invasive median nerve stimulation, used as an adjunct to atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation, showed promise in improving rhythm outcomes The…
- Report: Condos’ Median Price Lowest Since Early 2023; Home Inventory Near 12-Year HighCondominium buyers in the 27-county area covered by the Northwest Multiple Listing Service paid a median price of $435,000 in October, the lowest since February 2023 and down 13% from a year ago, NWMLS said Thursday in its latest monthly…
- Seizure Drug Cenobamate Seeks FDA Nod for Generalized Seizures and Children After 71.9% Median Reduction in TrialThe maker of the epilepsy drug cenobamate, sold as Xcopri, has asked the Food and Drug Administration to approve it for primary generalized tonic-clonic seizures in patients 12 and older, after a phase 3 trial showed a 71.9% median drop in…
- Brownsville Buyers Face Fewer Choices as Prices Slip Below the National MedianListings with price cuts Buyers in Brownsville are working with a shrinking pool of options—active listings fell about 9.5% year-over-year, leaving just 1,550 homes available. That's a sharp contrast to the national picture, where active…
- Fentanyl-Fueled Driver Takes Out Median, Gas Meter, Fence and More in BremertonDUI crashes into yards are not uncommon, we've seen them in the Columbia Basin, and we've seen our share of drivers who go through roundabouts instead of 'around' them. But this goes way beyond that. Around 9 AM, the Kitsap County…
- BIS data shows fiat currencies last a median 33 years, and Bitcoin fans noticedThe Bank for International Settlements has put a number on how long state-issued money tends to survive. The answer is a median of 33 years. That figure is now circulating on social media as evidence that crypto challenges government…
- Median First-Time Buyer Age Is Still 40: The Costs of Delaying Are Adding UpFor some, the path to homeownership now involves waiting longer, saving more and building enough financial cushion to enter the market. Others are turning to family wealth, including inheritances and family gifts, to help bridge the…
- South Dakota Leads Alcohol Harm Index, Falls Below Median for Treatment AccessSouth Dakota is among 13 states with higher alcohol harm and lower facility-based treatment access, according to a Lantana Recovery analysis. MITCHELL, SD (Mitchell Now) — South Dakota has the nation’s highest Alcohol Harm Index score…
- Brainstem Neurons in Median Raphe Generate Sleep Drive in MiceResearchers mapped mouse brain circuits to reveal that median raphe neurons actively generate sleep drive and govern non-rapid eye movement sleep.
- Pasadena Breaks Ground on Sierra Madre Median EnhancementsTag : Pasadena Breaks Ground on Sierra Madre Median Enhancements ColoradoBoulevard.net Pasadena Breaks Ground on Sierra Madre Median Enhancements The City of Pasadena’s Public Works Department broke ground today on the Sierra Madre Median…
- Vanguard Says This Is the Median 401(k) at 65. Here’s Why Having Double It Still Isn’t SafeSaving twice what most 65-year-olds have puts you ahead of the pack, yet a hidden tax trap on Social Security and a few quiet retirement risks can turn that lead into a squeeze. Here is where the cushion starts to… Vanguard’s How America…
- Motorcyclist killed in Henderson after striking median, then being run over by unaware driverKTNV Las Vegas A motorcyclist was killed late Wednesday after striking a median in Henderson and then being run over unknowingly by another driver.The Henderson Police and Fire departments were called to a crash scene on Stephanie Street…
Related markets
All housing ›Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
49%↑ 7.50%
- Reaches 7.5%49%
- Falls to 6.5%9%
- Falls to 6.25%5%
Already reached: ↑ 7.25%, ↑ 7.00%, ↑ 6.75%, ↑ 6.50%, ↑ 6.30%, ↑ 6.20%
US existing home sales for October (October 2026)
3.80median
3.504.40
Median 3.80Middle half 3.73 – 3.89
US existing home · Median sales price in October (October 2026)
$416,410median
$390,000$440,000
Median $416,410Middle half $412,500 – $419,615
NYC median asking rent in December 2026
$3,999median
$3,700$4,600
Median $3,999Middle half $3,933 – $4,088
US mortgage applications change in the next MBA report (Nov 11, 2026)
1%median
-12%12%
Median 1%Middle half -1.94% – 4.09%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions