Average Iowa farmland value in the 2026 ISU survey
$11,875median
$11,000$12,250
Median $11,875
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US ISM Services PMI for November (November 2026)
The odds
55.0median
5356.2
Median 55.0
How the odds have moved
Median: 55.0 on Nov 7, 55.0 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 53.20 | 80% | 75¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | ||
| Above 53.40 | 77% | 72¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | ||
| Above 53.60 | 74% | 69¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | ||
| Above 53.80 | 71% | 66¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | ||
| Above 54.00 | 68% | 63¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | ||
| Above 54.20 | 64% | 59¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | ||
| Above 54.40 | 61% | 56¢ | 66¢ | $1.52 | ||
| Above 54.60 | 57% | 52¢ | 62¢ | $1.61 | ||
| Above 54.80 | 53% | 48¢ | 58¢ | $1.72 | ||
| Above 55.00 | 49% | 44¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | ||
| Above 55.20 | 45% | 40¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | ||
| Above 55.40 | 41% | 36¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | ||
| Above 55.60 | 37% | 32¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | ||
| Above 55.80 | 34% | 29¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | ||
| Above 56.00 | 30% | 25¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: ISM Services PMI
Search ›- ISM Services PMI Slips to 54.5 as 12-Month Prices Hit 2023 HighThe Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported that the October US services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) fell to 54.5, down from September’s 54.9. The reading remained above the 50 threshold, indicating that services activity…
- U.S. ISM Services PMI at a Three-Month Low, Still Indicating Expansion for the 28th Straight MonthHaver Analytics U.S. ISM Services PMI at a Three-Month Low, Still Indicating Expansion for the 28th Straight Month - ISM Services PMI down slightly to 54.5 in Oct., still above the 12-month avg. of 54.3. - Business Activity (53.8) lowest…
- Nasdaq 100 Forecast: Chip Stocks Rebound After US Midterm Sell-OffThe Nasdaq 100 rebounded on Friday after hitting the strong key support level but closed the week in negative territory with 4.92% loss. The rebound on Friday developed as buyers returned to semiconductor stocks. I think that the rebound…
- Gold Price Forecast: US-Iran Peace Hopes Fuel Rally as Oil PlungesGold price continues to rally on Thursday and gained over 2% after the strong surge on Wednesday. The strong drop in the US dollar index and US Treasury yields continues to support the rally in gold. This surge in the gold market comes…
- NASDAQ Index, SP500, Dow Jones Forecasts – NASDAQ Rallies Despite AI Regulation WorriesSP500 rallied as Democrats secured control of both the House and the Senate. Traders believe that Trump would not be able to start trade wars and would be forced to end the war in Iran after Democrats’ victory. Vice President Vance has…
- U.S. Dollar Retreats As Democrats Win The U.S. House And Senate: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPYU.S. Dollar Index is losing ground as Democrats won control in both the Senate and the House. Democrats’ victory may put some pressure on AI-related projects, which is bearish for the American currency. Traders also focused on the ISM…
- Aussie Dollar reclaims 0.7000 as blue wave sweep tumbles the US DollarMarket mood is positive, as evidenced by US equities, which closed Wednesday’s session in the green. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the buck against a basket of six currencies, dropped 0.36% to 101.53 amid fears…
- Mexican Peso climbs on Democratic sweep ahead of Banxico callThe Mexican Peso rallies against the US Dollar following the Democratic blue sweep in the US midterm elections, with Democrats set to control the US Senate and the House of Representatives starting in January 2027. Despite this, the lack…
- Treasury yields rise as investors weigh midterm vote, jobs data and Iran tensionsTreasury yields edged higher Tuesday as voting began in the U.S. midterm elections, while investors parse a busy week of economic data and renewed Middle East tensions that pushed oil prices higher. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield — the…
- Dow Rallies 2.9%, Oil Sinks 7% After Midterms: Stock Market TodayWall Street rallied Wednesday after Democrats won control of both chambers of Congress in Tuesday’s midterm elections, putting the Dow Jones Industrial Average on course for its biggest one-day gain in 19 months. Oil tumbled on bets the…
- Daily Gold Trading Report - Wednesday, November 4, 2026Gold steadied near $3,948 after Tuesday's slide toward $3,893, with today's US payrolls and services data deciding whether the bounce extends toward $3,998. Investorideas.com (www.investorideas.com), a leader in mining investing news and…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions