Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before Dec 1, 2026
3%
1¢
4¢
$25.00
3.4K
Before Jan 1, 2027
9%
▲ 2
6¢
11¢
$9.09
8.8K
Before Apr 1, 2027
35%
▼ 1
32¢
38¢
$2.63
3.2K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Trump's Venezuela gamble: It's been a success, but for whom?Washington Examiner · 10 days agoWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a…
Watch: Trump takes questions on Iran War, Venezuela, midterms, moreCBS News · 10 days agoPresident Trump took reporters' questions in the Oval Office on Friday on topics ranging from potential sanctions against Russia to the Iran War and the midterms. Standing next to him was Stephen Hubbard, an American recently released from…
Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado calls for new electionsNPR · 11 days agoVenezuela's opposition leader María Corina Machado returns to push for new elections while interim leader Delcy Rodríguez signals that pressure for a democratic transition is felt. Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado calls…
Democrats Urge Trump to Retain AI Messages About Maduro Capture Operation in VenezuelaCubaHeadlines · 9 days agoSaturday, October 31, 2026 by Joseph Morales The letter, dated October 28, was signed by Jamie Raskin, the leading Democrat on the House Judiciary Committee, and Robert Garcia, his counterpart on the Committee on Oversight and Government…
Trump relies on Rubio as 'Viceroy of Venezuela' after Maduro capture: reportThe Standard 英文虎報 · 10 days agoPresident Donald Trump is relying heavily on Secretary of State Marco Rubio to lead Venezuela affairs during the transition after the capture of Nicolas Maduro, with US media and political circles calling Rubio the "Viceroy of Venezuela,"…
Venezuela's Maria Corina Machado hopeful for 2027 presidential electionThe Washington Post · 11 days agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Opposition leader…
Venezuela opposition leader María Machado calls for elections upon returnBBC News · 11 days agoVenezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado is calling for elections to be held next year. During a news conference in Caracas on Wednesday, the Nobel Peace Prize winner said the country's move toward democracy was "irreversible"…
Venezuela’s popular opposition leader returns to the countryNPR · 12 days agoPolitician, activist and Nobel Peace Prize winner María Corina Machado has returned to Venezuela. She led the opposition to authoritarian leader Nicholas Maduro and fled Venezuela in 2025 after more than a year in hiding.This is Machado’s…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions