How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (11/8-11/14)
26.3median
-850
Median 26.3Middle half 23.1 – 29.5
Install
Will Congress override Trump's veto? (Before Jan 20, 2029)
The odds
49%Before Jan 20, 2029
- Before Jan 1, 20278%▼ 1
- Before Jan 1, 202826%
- Before Jan 20, 202949%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 5% on Oct 20, 8% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 8% | ▼ 1 | 6¢ | 10¢ | $10.20 | 15.3K |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 26% | 22¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | 443 | |
| Before Jan 20, 2029 | 49% | ▼ 1 | 44¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | 17.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Trump
Search ›- Congress returns post-midterms as Trump extends invite to Democrats on immigration• On the Hill: Congress returns this week, marking the start of a lame-duck session. With fewer than 25 days in session before the new — and dramatically reshaped — 120th Congress begins, lawmakers have a long list of agenda items…
- Trump prepares for a fight with Congress, assembling more combative White HouseLawmakers are returning to Washington, D.C., to a stunning new political reality, and President Trump is vowing to fight back against the new Congress after the midterm blowout. He spoke with 60 Minutes correspondent Ross Douthat and…
- Trump administration live updates: Congress returns with government funding atop the to-do listMorning Rundown: Tech titan targeted by alleged Chinese spy, tension in Philadelphia over boycott of Jewish businesses, and Congress returns with big to-do list President Donald Trump said in an interview on CBS News’ “60 Minutes” that his…
- Congress is back after GOP's midterm defeat. And, Trump appoints new chief of staffRepublicans have just weeks left of control of Congress. Here's what to expect. And, Trump has appointed Stephen Miller as his new chief of staff, signaling his readiness to confront his opposition. Congress is back after GOP's midterm…
- Trump says he wants to work with Democrats as new members of Congress arrive for orientationCBS News Boston is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBZ-TV and channel 4, CBS News Boston offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Trump says he wants to…
- Dan Hoffman on Iran war: Trump administration is going to have some work to do with CongressEspionage concerns rise as former CIA station chief Dan Hoffman discusses the investigation into Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang's apology over an affair involving a suspected Chinese spy. Plus, Marco Rubio addresses Iran's 48-hour ultimatum and…
- Week in politics: Democrats plan for the next Congress, Trump's new Chief of StaffDemocrats plans for the next Congress, where they'll hold significant majorities in both chambers. Meanwhile, President Trump signals his plans by promoting Stephen Miller as his new Chief of Staff. Week in politics: Democrats plan for the…
- How Trump can navigate the rest of his term with a Democratic CongressWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a…
- The Odds: Another Trump ImpeachmentCNN News Central's John Berman and Chief Data Analyst Harry Enten examine what polling and prediction markets reveal about the likelihood of another Trump impeachment effort once Democrats take control of Congress in January. The Odds…
- Tracking Trump: Hegseth impeachment proceedings; Trump questions midterm results; Trump bone spurs statue; and moreBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. A GOP lawmaker kicked…
- Russia and Ukraine Keep Ignoring Donald TrumpNov 09, 2026 at 12:27 PM EST Russia and Ukraine traded strikes on each other's energy infrastructure into Monday, targeting sites President Donald Trump had decreed last month—without Kyiv and Moscow's agreement—to be off limits. The…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions