How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (11/8-11/14)
26.3median
-850
Median 26.3Middle half 23.1 – 29.4
Install
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? (Before Jan 1, 2027)
The odds
7%Above 50
4570
How the odds have moved
Above 50: 6% on Oct 20, 7% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 50 | 7% | 5¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 115.8K | |
| Above 55 | 6% | 4¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 16.7K | |
| Above 58 | 6% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 19.8K |
| Above 60 | 6% | ▼ 2 | 4¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 19.6K |
| Above 62 | 5% | ▼ 3 | 4¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 9.4K |
| Above 64 | 5% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 8.3K |
| Above 66 | 5% | 3¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 3.2K | |
| Above 68 | 5% | ▲ 2 | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 1.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Clarity Act, Senators
Search ›- Senator Lummis: CLARITY Act could aid crypto firms in hacks like $6B Binance incidentEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered…
- Lummis argues Clarity Act would classify Binance as a covered personThe Wyoming senator says the stalled market structure bill would have handed regulators sharper tools against illicit finance, including at Binance Senator Cynthia Lummis wants critics to know what they voted down. On October 30, 2026, the…
- XRP Price Prediction: XRP Eyes $3 Despite CLARITY Act Setback, Binance Hack, and Iran War, but Can AlphaPepe Deliver Bigger Gains?XRP faces a steep climb to reach the 3 mark amid global tensions The token trades near 1 25 https coinmarketcap com cmc ai xrp price analysis after a massive security breach at Binance shook confidence across crypto Simultaneously oil…
- CLARITY Act Freeze Tools Could Have Limited $6.3B Binance Losses, Sen. Lummis SaysAllChained, live data on tokenized treasuries, funds and stablecoins. Who can buy tokenized funds? Wyoming Senator Cynthia Lummis says the stalled CLARITY Act would have given crypto exchanges immediate legal cover to freeze suspicious…
- Lummis Addresses Binance Classification Under Clarity ActMikaeel Goharshadi is a crypto writer with over a year of experience covering the fast-moving world of blockchain and digital assets. I specialize in writing both technical articles, explaining protocols, tokenomics, and DeFi mechanisms…
- Clarity Act could classify Binance as “covered person,” says LummisEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered…
- CLARITY Act back in the spotlight after $6.3B Binance hack — Here’s why!The $6.3 billion Binance hack, the largest crypto security incident on record, has sparked fresh debate over cryptocurrency regulations in the United States, particularly the need for stronger safeguards for crypto exchanges. According to…
- Crypto Currents: Trump says Senate should pass Clarity ActAs bitcoin, ethereum and other cryptocurrencies see major legal, institutional, and technological developments, the financial landscape continues to adapt. Stay up on the crypto news that matters with the “Crypto Currents” weekly from The…
- Senator Lummis Calls Out Democrats on Clarity Act PricingSenator Lummis criticizes Democrats for voting against fair pricing for crypto under the Clarity Act. Here's why this matters. Senator Lummis emphasizes fair pricing standards for crypto brokers. Democrats voted against a proposal ensuring…
- CLARITY Act faces hurdles amid potential Democratic gains in CongressEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered…
- GENIUS Act Needs CLARITY Act Framework, Says GOP Majority WhipGOP Majority Whip emphasizes the need for a CLARITY Act alongside the GENIUS Act for stablecoin regulations. Here's why this matters. GOP Majority Whip stresses need for stablecoin legal framework. Both GENIUS and CLARITY Acts are…
- XRP News Today: Ripple CEO Upbeat Despite CLARITY Act Delay As Rulemaking AdvancesWriter by choice, CryptoCurrency Writer, and Researcher by chance. Currently, focusing on financial news and analysis, as well as cryptocurrency news and data. One may not call me a crypto “Enthusiast” but trust me I'm getting there…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions