Cobb County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)
75%At least 64%
54%68%
Install
Polk County, Iowa: Josh Turek vote percent
The odds
61.35%median
54%66%
Median 61.35%Middle half 60.1% – 63.2%
How the odds have moved
Median: 60.57% on Oct 20, 61.35% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 56% | 84% | $1.19 | 672 | |||
| At least 58% | 77% | $1.30 | 420 | |||
| At least 60% | 77% | 97¢ | $1.03 | 416 | ||
| At least 62% | 37% | 2¢ | $2.70 | 248 | ||
| At least 64% | 17% | $5.88 | 1.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Polk County, Josh Turek, Iowa
Search ›- Josh Turek Defeats Ashley Hinson in Iowa Senate RaceNov 03, 2026 at 11:51 PM EST Nov 03, 2026 at 11:55 PM EST Democrat Josh Turek has won Iowa's U.S. Senate race, defeating Republican Ashley Hinson in a contest closely watched as a measure of political sentiment in the rural Midwest…
- Democrats flip Senate as Josh Turek dunks Ashley Hinson in Iowa raceWASHINGTON — Iowa state Rep. Josh Turek, a former wheelchair basketball star, defeated Republican Rep. Ashley Hinson Tuesday in the race to replace retiring GOP Sen. Joni Ernst, ensuring Democrats would take control of the upper chamber of…
- Josh Turek wins Iowa 2026 Senate election, CBS News projects, flipping seat for DemocratsNovember 3, 2026 / 11:32 PM EST / CBS News Washington — Democratic state Rep. Josh Turek defeated GOP Rep. Ashley Hinson in the Iowa Senate race, CBS News projects, in a major pickup for Democrats as they seek to take control of the upper…
- Josh Turek flips Iowa Senate seat, giving Democrats a boost in the fight for the majorityDemocrat Josh Turek defeated Republican Rep. Ashley Hinson to take Iowa’s open Senate seat, NBC News projects, a critical flip for his party in the fight for the majority. Turek, a state representative who won a contested primary this year…
- Josh Turek wins Iowa Senate race to hand Democrats major victory in Republican stateAshley Hinson loses heated contest in former swing state, a sign Republicans may be losing rural voters US midterm elections – live updates Track live results from all 50 states Democrat Josh Turek has won the US Senate race in Iowa…
- Democrat Josh Turek wins the Senate seat in IowaMidterms coverage: Live results | What to know | Stories around the countryStay connected: NPR Politics Podcast | NPR Politics newsletter | NPR app Turek, a state representative from Council Bluffs, beat Republican Congresswoman Ashley…
- Josh Turek pitches generational change in tight Iowa Senta raceCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Latest from Iowa…
- WATCH LIVE: Iowa Senate candidate Josh Turek speaks at Le Mars canvass launchDemocratic Senate nominee Josh Turek speaks to volunteers at a canvass launch in Le Mars, Iowa, before voters head to the polls. WATCH LIVE: Iowa Senate candidate Josh Turek speaks at Le Mars canvass launch Democratic Senate nominee Josh…
- Josh Turek pitches "generational change" in tight Senate race as Iowa faces crushing health and affordability issuesUpdated on: November 2, 2026 / 11:10 PM EST / CBS News Sioux City, Iowa — Democratic Senate hopeful Josh Turek was with former Sen. Tom Harkin in a driveway in a small Western Iowa town when the former senator pulled out his phone to show…
- Iowa Democrat Rep. Josh Turek flips Senate seatIowa Democratic state Rep. Josh Turek will defeat Republican U.S. Rep. Ashley Hinson in the Iowa Senate race, flipping the seat to Democratic control for the first time in more than two decades. ABC News' Elizabeth Schulze reports.
- Democrat Josh Turek wins Iowa US Senate race, defeating Ashley HinsonNews Channel 5 Nashville Democrat Josh Turek wins Iowa US Senate race, defeating Ashley Hinson
- Democrat Josh Turek wins Iowa Senate ElectionWOWT Democrat Josh Turek wins Iowa Senate Election Denise Powell becomes second woman elected to represent Nebraska in Congress Election 2026: voters reject online sports betting measures Nebraska election results appear to end…
Related markets
All elections ›Linn County, Iowa: Josh Turek vote percent
59.54%median
48%66%
Median 59.54%Middle half 58.28% – 62%
Kent County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
65%At least 56%
46%58%
Wake County, North Carolina: Roy Cooper vote percent
68.44%median
60%76%
Median 68.44%Middle half 64.53% – 72%
Webb County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
65%At least 70%
54%72%
Scott County, Iowa: Josh Turek vote percent
53.42%median
46%60%
Median 53.42%Middle half 51.57% – 55.23%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions