Cobb County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)
75%At least 64%
54%68%
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Webb County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
The odds
65%At least 70%
54%72%
How the odds have moved
At least 56%: 98% on Oct 20, 89% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Why it moved
- Nov 5, 9 PM ETAt least 56%: 99% → 91%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 56% | 89% | 75¢ | $1.12 | 1.0K | ||
| At least 58% | 89% | 75¢ | $1.12 | 872 | ||
| At least 60% | 89% | 75¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 3.8K | |
| At least 62% | 89% | 66¢ | $1.12 | 1.2K | ||
| At least 64% | 89% | 62¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 3.4K | |
| At least 66% | 89% | 61¢ | $1.12 | 4.0K | ||
| At least 68% | 75% | ▼ 23 | 75¢ | $1.33 | 7.4K | |
| At least 70% | 65% | 65¢ | $1.54 | 714 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Webb County, James Talarico, Texas
Search ›- Texas Senate victor James Talarico lays out common ground with Trump, vows to 'work together'Texas Senator-elect James Talarico joins 'America's Newsroom' to outline his plans to work across the aisle, expressing support for President Trump's efforts on border security and highlighting the need for comprehensive housing solutions…
- A closer look at James Talarico, the Democrat who flipped Texas' U.S. Senate seatUpdated on: November 4, 2026 / 4:29 PM CST / CBS Texas Democrat James Talarico is projected to defeat Republican Ken Paxton, the state's outgoing attorney general, in Texas' U.S. Senate race, marking another major victory for Democrats in…
- James Talarico wins Texas Senate seat: "We just took back Texas"CBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. James Talarico wins Texas…
- Democrats Gina Hinojosa and James Talarico celebrate winsCBS News Democrats Gina Hinojosa and James Talarico celebrate wins Mostly sunny skies expected as temperatures stay in the 70s in North Texas Countries react to U.S. midterm election results Democrats sweep midterm elections across U.S…
- James Talarico on flipping Texas Senate seat in race against Ken PaxtonCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. James Talarico on…
- Full speech: James Talarico projected winner in Texas Senate raceNBC News Texas Governor Greg Abbott concedes his reelection bid Troy Jackson wins Maine Senate seat, NBC News projects President Trump speaks to various media outlets reacting to midterm results Full speech: James Talarico projected winner…
- Texas Democrats in James Talarico's hometown celebrate projected Senate victoryCNBC Texas Democrats in James Talarico's hometown celebrate projected Senate victory
- James Talarico wins Senate race in Texas, securing historic victory – videoDemocrat James Talarico has won the US Senate race in Texas, securing an astonishing and historic victory. Talarico, a state representative, beat the scandal-plagued attorney general Ken Paxton in the most expensive race of this midterms…
- Texas Goes Blue: James Talarico Triumphs Over Ken PaxtonThe myth of a blue Texas is now a reality. Democrat James Talarico has defeated Republican state Attorney General Ken Paxton in one of the most hotly contested Senate races of the year. Shortly after Talarico was projected to win, Democrat…
- Democrat James Talarico wins Texas Senate seatTexas Senate candidate James Talarico addresses supporters on primary election night in Austin, Texas. Mark Felix/AFP via Getty Images hide caption Midterms coverage: Live results | What to know | Stories around the countryStay connected…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions