Cobb County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)
75%At least 64%
54%68%
Install
Kent County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
The odds
65%At least 56%
46%58%
How the odds have moved
At least 48%: 94% on Oct 20, 88% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Why it moved
- Nov 4, 10 PM ETAt least 48%: 88% → 99%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 48% | 88% | 61¢ | $1.14 | 1.3K | ||
| At least 50% | 80% | 61¢ | $1.24 | 400 | ||
| At least 52% | 80% | 62¢ | $1.24 | 216 | ||
| At least 54% | 80% | 75¢ | $1.24 | 787 | ||
| At least 56% | 65% | 65¢ | $1.54 | 337 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Kent County, Abdul El-Sayed, Michigan
Search ›- Abdul El-Sayed projected to win Michigan US Senate raceFox News Abdul El-Sayed projected to win Michigan US Senate race Abdul El-Sayed’s battle with GOP nominee Mike Rogers was one of the midterm cycle’s most watched and heated races.
- Democrat Abdul El-Sayed defeats Republican Mike Rogers in Michigan Senate raceNPR Democrat Abdul El-Sayed defeats Republican Mike Rogers in Michigan Senate race Democrat Abdul El-Sayed won the U.S. Senate election in Michigan. Longtime NPR political correspondent Don Gonyea talks about the results in his home state.
- Mike Rogers, Abdul El-Sayed meet in Michigan's U.S. Senate raceCBS News Mike Rogers, Abdul El-Sayed meet in Michigan's U.S. Senate race DOJ sends election monitors to all 50 state for first time Christina Hines, Michael Bouchard meet in Michigan's U.S. House District 10 race Eli Savit, Doug Lloyd meet…
- Progressive Democrat Abdul El-Sayed wins Michigan Senate raceIn a race fuelled by withering attacks and inter-party disputes, progressive Democrat Abdul El-Sayed has won a key Senate seat in the battleground state of Michigan. El-Sayed bested Republican Mike Rogers, withstanding an onslaught of…
- Democrat Abdul El-Sayed wins Michigan’s high-stakes Senate raceBREAKING: Democrat Abdul El-Sayed wins Michigan Senate race Abdul El-Sayed, an epidemiologist and former public health official aligned with the Democratic Party’s left flank, has won Michigan’s highly hostile Senate race, defeating his…
- Left-wing Democrat Abdul El-Sayed wins Michigan Senate raceIn a race fuelled by withering attacks and inter-party disputes, left-wing Democrat Abdul El-Sayed has won a key Senate seat in the battleground state of Michigan. El-Sayed bested Republican Mike Rogers, withstanding an onslaught of…
- Abdul El-Sayed wins Michigan 2026 Senate election, CBS News projectsNovember 4, 2026 / 1:29 AM CST / CBS News Washington — Democrat Abdul El-Sayed defeated former GOP Rep. Mike Rogers in the Michigan Senate race, CBS News projects, becoming the nation's first Muslim senator and retaining the seat for…
- Democrat Abdul El-Sayed projected to win Michigan and become nation’s first Muslim senatorCNN Democrat Abdul El-Sayed projected to win Michigan and become nation’s first Muslim senator Democrat Abdul El-Sayed, a former public health official, will defeat Republican former Rep. Mike Rogers in Michigan’s Senate race, CNN’s…
- Abdul El-Sayed delivers major blow to GOP in Michigan after bruising Senate raceMichigan is staying blue as Republicans’ hopes of flipping the state and gaining some breathing room in their thin majority were crushed. Abdul El-Sayed, who became the veritable face of this midterm cycle acting as the GOP’s boogeyman for…
- Watch: Abdul El-Sayed addresses supporters as ballot count continues in tight Michigan Senate raceCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Watch: Abdul…
- Bruce Springsteen sparks fan fury after backing Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan Senate raceFox News contributor Raymond Arroyo discusses the star's 'sermon' about the United States on 'The Ingraham Angle.' Bruce Springsteen has a message for Michigan voters — and some of his longtime fans aren't having it. The rock legend faced…
- Progressive Abdul El-Sayed wins Michigan Senate race to become first Muslim US senatorDemocrat defeats Mike Rogers in race marked by Islamophobic attacks from Trump and Republican allies Abdul El-Sayed, the doctor and progressive insurgent, has made history in winning the closely watched US Senate race in Michigan…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions