How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (11/8-11/14)
26.4median
-850
Median 26.4Middle half 23.2 – 29.6
Install
Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake? (Before 2028)
The odds
60%Rand Paul
- Rand Paul60%
- Susan Collins45%
- Lisa Murkowski29%
- Bill Cassidy9%
- Thom Tillis7%
- Mitch McConnell5%
- John Fetterman2%
- Ruben Gallego2%
How the odds have moved
Rand Paul: 60% on Oct 20, 60% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rand Paul | 60% | 23¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 6.2K | |
| Susan Collins | 45% | 6¢ | 47¢ | $2.13 | 3.8K | |
| Lisa Murkowski | 29% | 2¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 1.9K | |
| Bill Cassidy | 9% | 5¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 5.6K | |
| Thom Tillis | 7% | 4¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 4.3K | |
| Mitch McConnell | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 8.6K | |
| John Fetterman | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 5.7K | |
| Ruben Gallego | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 2.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Kari Lake, Senators, Rand Paul
Search ›- Susan Collins’ loss carries a particular sadness | OpinionRev. Steve Edington is minister emeritus of the Unitarian Universalist Church of Nashua, New Hampshire, and a former minister of the First Universalist Church of Rockland. I began my career in the Unitarian Universalist parish ministry in…
- What the downfall of near three-decade senator Susan Collins says about Republican unpopularityTroy Jackson, in just 101 days, bested the Republican, preventing her sixth Senate term: ‘You can’t eat road salt’ The political demise of Susan Collins – a fixture of Maine and Washington politics for three decades – recalls the famous…
- There’s no need to feel bad for Susan Collins | Victoria Hugo-VidalOn election night last week, I went to bed at 10 p.m. (I have a baby). Even by that time, the sky was looking blue, if you know what I mean. I woke up again at around 3 a.m. and was up for an hour rocking the baby back to sleep — he’s…
- Susan Collins could confront Trump | LetterI have urged Sen. Susan Collins to confront President Donald Trump. Pardoning the Jan. 6 insurrectionists; supporting the creation of DOGE; covering up the Epstein files; launching the war against Iran; putting ICE in our streets; pursuing…
- Letter: Susan Collins’ career ended like Tom Brady’s“Like Brady, her storied career tragically came to an end of her own doing.” Letters submitted by BDN readers are verified by BDN Opinion Page staff. Send your letters to [email protected] I think Susan Collins fell victim to the…
- More than blue wave swept away Susan CollinsSusan Young is the Bangor Daily News opinion editor. Susan Collins blamed her loss in Tuesday’s election on voter disdain for President Donald Trump. Voters, she complained, wanted angry rhetoric, not the results she had so long delivered…
- ‘I was caught up in the Trump Tsunami,’ says Susan Collins after losing Maine Senate seatSusan Collins who was running for a sixth Senate term, lost the Maine race to Troy Jackson on Tuesday. Reflecting on her defeat, the Republican said, “I was caught up in the Trump Tsunami that swept away many incumbent Republican senators…
- EXCLUSIVE: Rand Paul Says Economic Woes, Iran War Sank GOP In MidtermsRepublican Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul has pinned the GOP’s midterm bloodbath on mounting economic pressures facing Americans, including the Iran War. Paul attributed the GOP’s losses across the country Tuesday night, in part, to voters’…
- Susan Collins’s loss in Maine is a loss for the countryBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. She resisted partisan…
- Troy Jackson begins building Senate team after defeating Susan CollinsWABI Troy Jackson begins building Senate team after defeating Susan Collins Bangor movie theater employee brings characters to life to make moviegoers smile Graphic novel series features Joshua Chamberlain’s Medal of Honor story Maine’s…
- Troy Jackson inherits Susan Collins’ seat but not her federal funding cloutDemocratic U.S. Sen.-elect Troy Jackson heads to Washington in early January with the enthusiasm of a party that swept control of Congress but without the clout of Sen. Susan Collins, the outgoing head of the Appropriations Committee. The…
- Who won in China? In the US midterms, Susan Collins and the local firefightersRepublican Senator Susan Collins won in China on Tuesday. So did the volunteer firefighters. Voters in several small American communities with China in their names cast ballots in Tuesday’s US midterm elections. Their local contests had…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions