How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (11/8-11/14)
26.4median
-850
Median 26.4Middle half 23.2 – 29.6
Install
Which Senators will vote for Heidi Overton? (Before 2028)
The odds
70%Rand Paul
- Rand Paul70%▲ 1
- Thom Tillis48%▲ 1
- Mitch McConnell40%▲ 1
- Susan Collins30%▲ 1
- Bill Cassidy23%▲ 1
- Lisa Murkowski21%▲ 1
- John Fetterman21%▲ 1
- Tim Kaine11%
- Maggie Hassan11%
- Ruben Gallego11%
How the odds have moved
Rand Paul: 71% on Oct 20, 70% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rand Paul | 70% | ▲ 1 | 66¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | 1.00 |
| Thom Tillis | 48% | ▲ 1 | 44¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | 887 |
| Mitch McConnell | 40% | ▲ 1 | 36¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | 1.5K |
| Susan Collins | 30% | ▲ 1 | 26¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | 16.00 |
| Bill Cassidy | 23% | ▲ 1 | 19¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 782 |
| Lisa Murkowski | 21% | ▲ 1 | 17¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | |
| John Fetterman | 21% | ▲ 1 | 17¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | |
| Tim Kaine | 11% | 7¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | ||
| Maggie Hassan | 11% | 7¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | ||
| Ruben Gallego | 11% | 7¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Heidi Overton, Senators, Rand Paul
Search ›- Extended Interview: Victor Wembanyama on playing style, training and life off the courtCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Extended Interview…
- US Midterms and Trump Pressure on BrazilBRAZIL · US POLITICS Americans vote on Tuesday for a new Congress. It could change how far Washington can press Brazil, though most levers sit with the president. Americans vote on Tuesday, 3 November 2026, for all 435 House seats and 35…
- Sen. Rand Paul tours Eastern Kentucky sites to promote regional tourism initiativesBELL COUNTY, Ky. (WYMT) - Senator Rand Paul visited sites in Eastern Kentucky this week as the fall foliage peak arrives, discussing the region’s tourism efforts. One stop was Pine Mountain State Resort Park, where Paul discussed concrete…
- Map Shows Senate Races Most Likely to Determine ControlNov 02, 2026 at 08:00 AM EST The battle for a Senate majority is seen as competitive ahead of the midterm elections, and the balance of power is likely to come down to seven toss-up races in which both major parties have invested…
- 11/1/2026: Michigan Senate Race; Cuba in Crisis; WembyCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. 11/1/2026: Michigan…
- Michigan candidates Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers: The 60 Minutes InterviewsCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Michigan race…
- Victor Wembanyama: The 60 Minutes InterviewCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Victor Wembanyama…
- Cuba increasingly isolated from the global economy amid tough new U.S. sanctionsCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Inside Cuba under…
- Cuba in Crisis | Sunday on 60 MinutesThis Sunday, 60 Minutes' Matt Gutman travels to Cuba to report on a country in freefall. The Trump administration imposed new economic sanctions that it says target Cuba's corrupt communist regime, restricting its oil supply and access to…
- Democratic Senator: Latino voters feel 'abandoned' by GOPDemocratic Senator: Latino voters feel ‘abandoned’ by GOP CNN Democratic Senator: Latino voters feel ‘abandoned’ by GOP Sen. Ruben Gallego joins The Lead.
- Senator Warnock calls Senator Cruz's remarks on Muslims ‘bigotry, pure and simple’Senator Warnock calls Senator Cruz’s remarks on Muslims ‘bigotry, pure and simple’ CNN Senator Warnock calls Senator Cruz’s remarks on Muslims ‘bigotry, pure and simple’ Senator Warnock says he takes "no comfort in this kind of…
- Chris Murphy Health Update: Senator ‘Responding Well’ After StrokeNov 02, 2026 at 02:26 PM EST Nov 02, 2026 at 08:51 PM EST Senator Chris Murphy continues to respond well to treatment following his stroke over the weekend, his office told Newsweek on Monday. The Connecticut Democrat, 53, was rushed to a…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions