When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan? (Before 2030)

Kalshi Politics › World leaders Closes Jan 1, 2030 · $6.2K traded · $2.2K at stake · prices read 6 min ago

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The odds

21%Before 2030
  • Before 203021%
  • Before 202919%▼ 1
  • Before 20288%
  • Before 20272%

How the odds have moved

Before 2030: 23% on Oct 20, 21% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Before 2030 21% 19¢ 22¢ $4.55 8.5K
Before 2029 19% ▼ 1 17¢ 20¢ $5.00 16.1K
Before 2028 8% 6¢ 9¢ $10.75 12.0K
Before 2027 2% 1¢ 4¢ $28.57 21.7K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: China, Taiwan, Xi Jinping

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  • Xi Jinping Cleans House in ChinaThe Epoch Times · 4 days agoFor the last two years, Chinese Communist Party leader Xi Jinping has been working relentlessly to dismantle the political network that had previously controlled China. That group’s power is now effectively broken—though observers are…
  • One China, no Tibetans: Xi Jinping’s sinister agenda behind ethnic unity push@firstpost · 4 days agoXi’s latest law raises a fundamental question: can a country achieve unity by denying its people the freedom to preserve their identities? For the new law on ethnic unity and progress imposed by Xi Jinping could trigger or risk worsening…
  • Xi Jinping votes in local legislative election in Beijing@CGTNOfficial · 4 days agoCGTN Xi Jinping votes in local legislative election in Beijing Chinese President Xi Jinping casts his ballot at a polling station in Beijing to elect deputies to a local people's congress, November 6, 2026. /Xinhua Chinese President Xi…
  • Chinese President Xi Jinping Likely to Miss ASEAN Summit, Premier Li Qiang to Represent ChinaLokmat Times · 4 days agoLokmat Times Chinese President Xi Jinping is expected to skip the upcoming 49th Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Summit and Related Summits in Manila Instead, Chinese Premier Li Qiang is likely to represent Beijing at the…
  • Xi Jinping Is Cleaning up China’s Paramilitary PoliceThe Epoch Times · 5 days agoPolice in China generally aren’t allowed to carry automatic weapons—that is except for the People’s Armed Police. This paramilitary force is regularly mobilized by corrupt officials to carry out their dirty work—including forcefully…
  • China Expands Xi Jinping’s Anti-Graft Drive With New Cross-Border Corruption LawThe China-Global South Project · 4 days agoThe China-Global South Project - China adopts new law to combat cross-border corruption, deepen international cooperation, and safeguard national sovereignty and security, reported Xinhua. - Li Xi wrote in the People's Daily that the law…
  • Xi Jinping replies to young Australian students@CGTNOfficial · 4 days agoCGTN Xi Jinping replies to young Australian students Chinese President Xi Jinping recently replied to 110 young Australian students who had written to him, encouraging them to remain committed to promoting the China-Australia friendship.
  • President Xi Jinping meets with Austrian Chancellor Stocker in Beijing@CGTNOfficial · 4 days agoCGTN President Xi Jinping meets with Austrian Chancellor Stocker in Beijing Chinese President Xi Jinping met with Austrian Chancellor Christian Stocker in Beijing on Friday. Stocker is on an official visit to China from November 2 to 7.
  • Chinese President Xi Jinping likely to skip ASEAN Summit in Manila: ReportDevdiscourse · 5 days agoThe Philippines' Department of Foreign Affairs (DFA) shared this information on Wednesday while responding to reports about Xi's expected absence from the annual summit, which the Philippines is hosting this year. Chinese President Xi…
  • The perils of Xi Jinping’s purgetovima.com · 4 days agoAs regional conflicts rage and revisionist powers challenge the established order, warnings of a new global conflagration are growing louder At a seminar in Beijing in July, scholars in economics and international relations had a…
  • Xi Jinping’s Maoist Trap: Why Absolute Power May Be China’s Greatest Political VulnerabilityThe Epoch Times · 4 days agoThe communiqué issued after the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP’s) Fifth Plenum (Oct. 26–29) presents Xi Jinping as having solved one of the oldest problems in Chinese political history: the recurring cycle of political rise, decline, and…
  • Xi Jinping's key remarks on building a strong maritime country@CGTNOfficial · 5 days agoCGTN Xi Jinping's key remarks on building a strong maritime country The 2026 World Ocean Week opened in Xiamen, east China's Fujian Province, on Thursday. At the event, participants from home and abroad are discussing deep-sea governance…

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Nov 16, 2027even chance by
  • Before Dec 1, 20264%▲ 1
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  • Before Feb 1, 202712%▲ 1
13 more
  • Before Mar 1, 202714%▼ 3
  • Before Apr 1, 202723%▼ 2
  • Before May 1, 202725%▼ 2
  • Before Jun 1, 202735%▲ 2
  • Before Jul 1, 202739%
  • Before Aug 1, 202740%▼ 1
  • Before Sep 1, 202742%▼ 1
  • Before Oct 1, 202746%
  • Before Nov 1, 202749%▲ 1
  • Before Dec 1, 202752%▲ 3
  • Before Jan 1, 202856%▲ 2
  • Before Jul 1, 202866%▲ 5
  • Before Jan 1, 202970%
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions