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Which countries will have a recession before 2027?
The odds
- United Kingdom5%
- China3%▲ 1
- India2%
How the odds have moved
United Kingdom: 14% on Oct 20, 5% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Kingdom | 5% | 3¢ | 7¢ | $14.49 | 85.5K | |
| ✓ Japan | 4% | $24.39 | 35.3K | |||
| China | 3% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 6¢ | $18.18 | 34.8K |
| India | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $35.71 | 23.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: recession, United Kingdom
Search ›- Minister Keogh - Travel To Malaysia, United Kingdom And PolandTRAVEL TO MALAYSIA, UNITED KINGDOM AND POLAND As we approach Remembrance Day, this week I will travel overseas to meet with some of our deployed troops to thank them for what they do. In Malaysia, I will visit Royal Malaysian Air Force…
- India should replace the United Kingdom on UN Security CouncilThat the structure of the United Nations is antiquated is not news. The Security Council rewarded the victors of World War II, but ignored both their colonial holdings, the practical impact of decolonization, and general shifts over eight…
- Vietnam and the United Kingdom promote connectivity in commodity derivatives markets.On the afternoon of November 6th, the British Embassy and Consulate General in Vietnam, in collaboration with Boston Consulting Group, organized an online seminar titled “UK - Vietnam: Developing the Commodity Derivatives Trading Market by…
- A partnership built on security: post-Brexit rapprochement between Germany and the United KingdomPubAffairs Bruxelles Since the UK’s withdrawal from the EU, UK-German relations have undergone a remarkable transformation: from Berlin’s deliberate distancing from London during the Brexit negotiations, when Germany consistently…
- Armenia and the United Kingdom signed a defense cooperation program for 2026-2027ArmInfo Armenia and the United Kingdom signed a defense cooperation program for 2026-2027 ArmInfo. Bilateral defense consultations between Armenia and the United Kingdom took place in London. According to the press service of the Armenian…
- United Kingdom: HMRC clarifies VAT treatment of crypto-assetsThe UK’s tax authority, HM Revenue and Customs (HMRC), has published guidance explaining how existing VAT rules apply to crypto-asset transactions. As there are no specific VAT rules for crypto-assets, sellers must assess their…
- United Kingdom-Based Smoking Cessation Program Reports That 30 Percent of Support in a Lung Cancer Screening Program: The Yorkshire Enhanced Stop Smoking Study (YESS)(VIENNA, Austria — August 8, 2022, 10:30 a.m. CEST) - Patients with lung cancer who attended a lung cancer screening event and who then participated in a personalized smoking cessation study achieved smoking abstinence rates of more than…
- United Kingdom’s Cotton Market Forecast to Reach 1.2K Tons and $2.9M in Value by 2035IndexBox has just published a new report: United Kingdom - Cotton (Carded Or Combed) - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights. Driven by rising demand for cotton (carded or combed) in the UK, the market is expected to start…
- Bilateral defence consultations took place between the Republic of Armenia and the United KingdomOn November 4, in London, bilateral defence consultations took place between the Republic of Armenia and the United Kingdom. During the consultations, discussions focused on issues related to regional and international security, as well as…
- Johnathan Burch Among Finalists for Highly Coveted Rhodes Scholarship to Study in the United KingdomRhodes College senior Johnathan Burch from Heath Springs, SC, is among the United States finalists to be interviewed for the highly coveted Rhodes Scholarship. The scholarship is the oldest and perhaps the best-known international…
- United Kingdom Lloyds House Price Index (YoY) below forecasts (-0.3%) in October: Actual (-1.2%)AUD/USD hits a three-week low during the Asian session on Friday as the RBA’s dovish shift and a rout in equity markets weigh on the risk-sensitive Aussie. However, the recent slump in US bond yields to a two-month low keeps US Dollar…
- United Kingdom Lloyds House Price Index (MoM) came in at -0.6%, below expectations (0.1%) in OctoberAUD/USD hits a three-week low during the Asian session on Friday as the RBA’s dovish shift and a rout in equity markets weigh on the risk-sensitive Aussie. However, the recent slump in US bond yields to a two-month low keeps US Dollar…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions