The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
No meeting by December 31, 2027
75%
▼ 1
75¢
76¢
$1.32
$51.7K
United States
3%
3¢
4¢
$25.00
$6.6K
Turkey
2%
1¢
4¢
$27.78
$6K
Switzerland
2%
1¢
4¢
$27.78
$3.8K
Russia
2%
2¢
2¢
$62.50
$3.4K
Hungary
1%
1¢
2¢
$47.62
$3.6K
Belarus
1%
1¢
2¢
$66.67
$4.1K
Ukraine
1%
1¢
2¢
$66.67
$3.6K
Kazakhstan
1%
0¢
2¢
$47.62
$4.1K
Serbia
1%
0¢
2¢
$47.62
$4.7K
UAE
1%
1¢
2¢
$62.50
$4.9K
South Africa
1%
0¢
2¢
$52.63
$3.5K
Other
1%
1¢
2¢
$66.67
$4.4K
Qatar
1%
1¢
1¢
$71.43
$4.3K
Austria
1%
0¢
1¢
$76.92
$3.4K
Finland
1%
0¢
1¢
$76.92
$3.8K
Germany
1%
0¢
1¢
$83.33
$58.5K
Other - Europe
1%
0¢
1¢
$90.91
$4.4K
China
1%
0¢
1¢
$100.00
$4.6K
Vatican City
1%
0¢
1¢
$90.91
$4.1K
Italy
1%
0¢
1¢
$90.91
$3.7K
Slovakia
1%
0¢
1¢
$90.91
$4.3K
Egypt
1%
0¢
1¢
$90.91
$3.5K
Brazil
1%
0¢
1¢
$90.91
$3.7K
Other - Middle East/North Africa
1%
0¢
1¢
$90.91
$4.3K
Azerbaijan
1%
0¢
1¢
$4.4K
Saudi Arabia
<1%
0¢
1¢
$3.4K
India
<1%
0¢
1¢
$4.1K
Poland
<1%
0¢
1¢
$3.6K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Zelenskiy speaks to Modi ahead of Ukraine-Russia talksReuters · 15 h agoPresident Volodymyr Zelenskiy on Monday spoke âto India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi ahead of trilateral talks with Russia and the US âin Abu Dhabi. Reporting by Yuliia Dysa, Sakshi âDayal Editing by Peter Graff and Tomasz Janowski…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions